The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Atlético La Paz 60.2%
Draw 20%
Venados 19.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
59.8%
20.7%
19.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
61.8%
20%
18.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atlético La Paz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
Venados has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético La Paz than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Venados than the current prediction. (-1%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
66.7%
0%
33.3%
Atlético La Paz - Venados Predictions
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Atlético La Paz will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Venados will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
BTTS - yes (1.38) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
33. Alcala G. (G) 9. Ferrer J. 28. Zurita Jimenez U. 21. Robles C. 30. Robles A. 5. Torres E. 16. Del Aguila Y. 20. Garcia M. 77. Alonzo J. 6. Hernandez D. 10. Barragan M. (C)
3. Perez S. (G) 32. Aguilar M. 21. Moreno Villegas J. A. 14. Montiel S. 31. Dominguez I. 18. Amador K. 5. Naveda S. 11. Tejeda D. 8. Kilani P. 7. Reyes J. 29. Lora S. (C)
Substitutes
22. Daccarett J. 23. Estrada J. (G) 25. Illescas F. 19. Jaimes U. 18. Larios I. 12. Millan O. 11. Renteria R. 15. Torres H. 2. Vazquez S.
27. Benitez S. 23. Castellanos R. (G) 20. Cruz J. 10. Dominguez A. 16. Macias L. 34. Saucedo S. 6. Torres E. 30. Torres M.
Coaches
Castillo H.
Castro N.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 2)
17', Lora S. 🟨,
21', 0 - 1, Lora S. ⚽, Kilani P. (A),
29', Hernandez D. 🟨,
34', 0 - 2, Reyes J. ⚽, Lora S. (A),
43', 1 - 2, Barragan M. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Hernandez D. ↓, Millan O. ↑,
50', Robles C. 🟨,
62', Kilani P. ↓, Macias L. ↑,
62', Amador K. ↓, Dominguez A. ↑,
70', Ferrer J. ↓, Jaimes U. ↑,
72', Aguilar M. ↓, Saucedo S. ↑,
72', Reyes J. ↓, Torres E. ↑,
72', Lora S. ↓, Torres M. ↑,
75', Saucedo S. 🟨,
77', Zurita Jimenez U. ↓, Renteria R. ↑,
90+4', Renteria R. 🟨,
Preview
A high-stakes showdown between two teams from the upper tier of the standings (ranked 2nd in the Promotion - Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura - Playoffs - Quarter - finals) and 5th in the Promotion - Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura - Playoffs - Quarter - finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlético La Paz won 2.
Atlético La Paz arrives with excellent momentum after picking up several victories (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Performances by Venados have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Venados may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Bookmakers give the edge to Atlético La Paz for this game.
Our forecast points to a victory for Atlético La Paz in today's match, at odds of 1.57.
In the last 11 head-to-head meetings, Atlético La Paz has recorded 5 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 18:17 (averaging 1.6:1.5 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Atlético La Paz against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with 8:5 goals (averaging 1.6:1 per game).