Match Info

Champions League - League phase - Round 2

Date: 13 October 2026, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Metropolitano Stadium (Madrid) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Nyberg G. (Swe)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	DStv Now, New World Sport App, SuperSport Football Plus, SuperSport MaXimo 1
Argentina	16:00	Disney+, ESPN
Armenia	23:00	Fast Sports 1, Fast Sports
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 5, beIN Sports MENA English 1, TOD
Australia	06:00	Stan Sport
Austria	21:00	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 3
Azerbaijan	23:00	Ictimai TV
Belgium	21:00	Pickx+ Sports 3, Pickx+ Sports 3
Bolivia	15:00	ESPN
Bosnia And Herzegovina	21:00	Arena Premium 1
Brazil	16:00	HBO Max
Bulgaria	22:00	Max Sport 3
Canada	15:00	DAZN Canada
Colombia	14:00	Disney+
Croatia	21:00	Arena Sport 1
Cyprus	22:00	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sport 4K, Cytavision Sport 4K, Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 3
Czech Republic	21:00	Nova Sport 4
Denmark	21:00	TV3+, Viaplay
Ecuador	14:00	ESPN 2
Estonia	22:00	Go3 Extra Sports
Finland	22:00	V Sport Premium
France	21:00	Canal+ Live 3
Germany	21:00	DAZN Deutsch, WOW
Hong Kong	03:00	beIN Sports 1, Now Player
Hungary	21:00	RTL+, Sport 1
Iceland	19:00	SÝN Sport Viaplay, Viaplay
India	00:30	JioTV app, Sony LIV
Indonesia	02:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Vidio
Ireland	20:00	Premier Sports 1 ROI
Israel	22:00	Sport 5 Max
Italy	21:00	Sky Sport 255
Kenya	22:00	Gotv
Kosovo	21:00	Arena Premium 3, ART Sport 2
Laos	02:00	beIN Connect
Lithuania	22:00	Go3 Extra Sports
Malaysia	03:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Sooka
Malta	21:00	TSN Malta 3
Mexico	13:00	FOX One
Mongolia	03:00	Premier Sports 2
Myanmar	01:30	Canal+ Myanmar
Netherlands	21:00	Ziggo Sport 3
New Zealand	08:00	DAZN New Zealand
Nigeria	20:00	SuperSport Football Plus, Supersport Maximo 1
North Macedonia	21:00	Arena Premium 3
Norway	21:00	TV2 Play
Pakistan	00:00	Tapmad
Peru	14:00	Disney+, ESPN
Philippines	03:00	beIN Connect
Poland	21:00	Canal+ Extra 2, CANAL+ Sport 5
Portugal	20:00	DAZN 1, DAZN / App
Romania	22:00	Digi Sport 2, Prima Sport 2, Prima TV
Russia	22:00	Okko Sport
Serbia	21:00	Arena Premium 3
Singapore	03:00	beIN Sport 1
Slovakia	21:00	Kanal A, Voyo
South Africa	21:00	Supersport Maximo 1
South America	—	ViX Latin America
South Korea	04:00	SPOTV Now
Spain	21:00	Movistar Plus+
Sweden	21:00	Viaplay, V Sport Premium
Switzerland	21:00	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 4, Blue Sport 4
Thailand	02:00	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Turkey	22:00	Tabii Spor 1, Tabii
Ukraine	22:00	MEGOGO Futbol 2
United Kingdom	20:00	Amazon Prime Video, HBO Max, TNT Sports 2
Uruguay	16:00	Disney+
Usa	15:00	Paramount+, TUDN App, TUDN, UniMas, Univision
Venezuela	15:00	Disney+, ESPN 2


	Atlético Madrid		Manchester United

	1	X	2
	1.80	3.80	4.20
	1.78	3.75	4.20
	1.79	3.90	4.50
	1.81	3.95	4.57
	1.9	3.81	4.12
	1.79	3.85	4.50
	1.83	3.85	4.26
	1.79	4.00	4.30
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.81 ↓ (2.18)	3.86 ↑ (3.82)	4.33 ↑ (2.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Atlético Madrid
53%

Draw
24.8%

Manchester United
22.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

43.4%

24.7%

31.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.9%

25%

32.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Madrid has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Atlético Madrid's performance.

Manchester United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Manchester United might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Madrid than the current prediction. (-10.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Atlético Madrid that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Manchester United than the current prediction. (+10.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Manchester United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
76.8%	10.7%	12.5%

Atlético Madrid - Manchester United Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 12 Selected Experts predict this event. Atlético (votes: 8 - 66.7%). Man Utd (votes: 1 - 8.3%). Tie (votes: 3 - 25%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Atlético (1.22) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (1.66) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

BTTS - yes (1.58) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

AH -0.75 - Atlético (2.04) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

New Consensus by Tipsters:

Cards O/U 3.5 - over (1.75) (votes: 100%) ⭐ Best Value.

O/U 2.5 - over (1.67) (votes: 92%) ⭐ Best Value.

AH -0.75 - Atletico Madrid (2.05) (votes: 83%) ⭐ Best Value.

Users Predictions: Atlético Madrid will win (43 of 55 users predict this - 78.18%).
Confidence interval (95%): 67.26% – 89.1%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 15 Selected Experts predict this event. Atlético (votes: 11 - 73.3%). Man Utd (votes: 1 - 6.7%). Tie (votes: 3 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Oblak J. (C) 14. Llorente M. 21. Romero C. 17. Hancko D. 22. Grimaldo A. 20. Simeone G. 8. Barrios P. 5. Cardoso J. 10. Baena A. 7. Lee Kang-In 19. Alvarez J.	1. Lammens S. (G) 2. Dalot D. 15. Yoro L. 6. Martinez Li. 26. Heaven A. 17. Andrey Santos 20. Baleba C. 8. Fernandes B. (C) 18. Tielemans Y. 9. Rashford M. 19. Mbeumo B.
Substitutes
46. Castillo J. 15. David J. 27. Dominguez J. 23. Hjulmand M. 24. Le Normand R. 11. Lookman A. 30. Martinez D. 4. Mendoza R. 1. Musso J. (G) 16. Ortiz A. 18. Pubill M. 9. Sorloth A.	41. Amass H. 57. Armer D. 10. Cunha M. 12. Darlow K. (G) 4. de Ligt M. 16. Diallo A. 39. Fletcher T. 31. Lacey S. 5. Maguire H. 45. Mee D. (G) 7. Mount M. 11. Zirkzee J.
Coaches
Simeone D.	Carrick M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
1', 1 - 0, Barrios P. ⚽, Baena A. (A),
37', Simeone D. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
52', Rashford M. 🟨,
60', Barrios P. ↓, Pubill M. ↑,
61', Lee Kang-In ↓, David J. ↑,
66', Tielemans Y. ↓, Zirkzee J. ↑,
66', Baleba C. ↓, Mount M. ↑,
66', Rashford M. ↓, Diallo A. ↑,
71', Alvarez J. ↓, Hjulmand M. ↑,
71', Baena A. ↓, Lookman A. ↑,
74', Yoro L. 🟥,
79', 2 - 0, Lookman A. ⚽,
80', Fernandes B. ↓, Cunha M. ↑,
80', Heaven A. ↓, Maguire H. ↑,
88', Simeone G. ↓, Le Normand R. ↑,
88', Le Normand R. 🟨,

Preview

Atlético is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Man Utd has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Recently, Man Utd has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.

Atlético is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

Confirmed absences for Man Utd: Darlow K. (Injury) Dorgu P. (Hamstring Injury) Heaton T. (Abdominal strain) Mainoo K. (Injury) Mazraoui N. (Injury) Sesko B. (Leg Injury) Shaw L. (Injury) Ugarte M. (Knee Injury) de Ligt M. (Back Injury).

In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, Atlético has recorded 2 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 4:3 (averaging 1:0.8 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Atlético against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 1:1 goals.

Standings

League phase

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
16	Atl. Madrid	3	1	1	1	4:3	1	4
20	Manchester Utd	3	1	0	2	5:6	-1	3

Outrights of UEFA Champions League for now

Atl. Madrid: 2.3%

Last Results with these Odds

Atlético Madrid - the odds 2.18 are the expected chance of winning is 43.36%, but this team recently wins 55% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Madrid
Spanish LaLiga
10.10.26	Deportivo Alavés - Atlético Madrid	1:2 ✺
20.09.26	Atlético Madrid - Real Madrid	2:1 ✺
16.09.26	Atlético Madrid - Osasuna	4:0 ✺
13.09.26	Real Sociedad - Atlético Madrid	0:3 ✺
UEFA Champions League
09.09.26	Liverpool - Atlético Madrid	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 WWWWL
- Manchester United
English Premier League
10.10.26	Manchester United - Tottenham Hotspur	1:1 ✺
20.09.26	Fulham - Manchester United	1:1 ✺
English League Cup
16.09.26	Manchester United - Brighton & Hove Albion	2:3 ✺
English Premier League
13.09.26	Manchester United - Manchester City	0:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
10.09.26	Manchester United - Sabah	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 TTLLW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
01.08.26	Manchester United - Atlético Madrid	2:1
30.07.22	Manchester United - Atlético Madrid	0:1
UEFA Champions League
15.03.22	Manchester United - Atlético Madrid	0:1
23.02.22	Atlético Madrid - Manchester United	1:1

Upcoming Matches