Match Info

Liga MX - Apertura - Round 1

Date: 17 July 2026, Friday

Location: Estadio Libertad Financiera (San Luis Potosí)

Referee: Escobedo Gonzalez A. (Mex)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Atlético San Luis		Cruz Azul

	1	X	2
	4.75	3.9	1.68	Watch
	4.10	3.70	1.80
	4.95	3.7	1.68	Watch
	5.36	3.96	1.67
	4.74	3.83	1.72
	5.15	3.9	1.65
	5.02	3.92	1.7	Watch
	4.7	3.85	1.67
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.85 ↑ (4.02)	3.85 ↑ (3.67)	1.7 ↓ (1.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético San Luis
19.5%

Draw
24.6%

Cruz Azul
55.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.2%

25.4%

51.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético San Luis has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

Cruz Azul has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	12.5%	62.5%

Atlético San Luis - Cruz Azul Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Atlético San Luis will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Cruz Azul will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Sanchez A. (G) 3. Robson Bambu 31. Aguila E. 18. Cruz A. 2. Torres R. 21. Macias O. 10. Salles-Lamonge S. (C) 16. Lucas Esteves 11. Rodriguez D. 20. Flores L. 22. Llorente R.	23. Mier K. (G) 16. Marquez J. 33. Piovi G. 4. Ditta W. 3. Campos O. 19. Rodriguez C. 6. Lira E. (C) 20. Paradela J. 8. Palavecino A. 29. Rotondi C. 11. Ebere C.
Substitutes
188. Carrillo L. 17. Duarte A. 30. Galindo B. 14. Garcia M. 25. Lajud M. G. (G) 5. Meraz R. 19. Munoz S. 8. Najera R. 26. Perez S. 242. Reyes A.	21. Fernandez G. 17. Garcia A. 55. Gonzalez R. 1. Gudino A. (G) 7. Ibanez N. 10. Montano A. 12. Montes A. 5. Orozco J. 22. Rodarte J. 18. Romero L.
Coaches
Mejia D.	Huiqui J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
14', Llorente R. 🟨,
33', Rodriguez C. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 3)
46', 1 - 0, Salles-Lamonge S. ⚽,
50', 2 - 0, Llorente R. ⚽, Flores L. (A),
56', Ebere C. ↓, Fernandez G. ↑,
56', Campos O. ↓, Romero L. ↑,
56', Palavecino A. ↓, Ibanez N. ↑,
63', 2 - 1, Fernandez G. (Penalty Awarded),
71', Flores L. ↓, Najera R. ↑,
75', Robson Bambu 🟨,
76', Rodriguez D. ↓, Garcia M. ↑,
77', Lucas Esteves ↓, Duarte A. ↑,
77', Lira E. ↓, Montano A. ↑,
81', 2 - 2, Marquez J. ⚽, Romero L. (A),
87', Paradela J. ↓, Garcia A. ↑,
88', Llorente R. ↓, Munoz S. ↑,
90+3', 2 - 3, Marquez J. ⚽, Rodriguez C. (A),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlético San Luis won 1.

Atlético San Luis may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Cruz Azul is a strong favorite.

There will not play in Atlético San Luis: Galdames B. (Knee Injury) Joao Pedro Galvao (Knee Injury) Juanpe (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Cruz Azul: Morales A. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Atlético San Luis: Lopez De Alba C. I. (Knee Injury) Medina J. (Ankle Injury)

There are questionable in Cruz Azul: Paradela J. (Injury)

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Atlético San Luis won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 12:25. (average 0.9:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Atlético San Luis won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:9. (average 1.1:1.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Cruz Azul	10	5	1	4	19:18	1	16
14	Atl. San Luis	10	3	3	4	14:18	-4	12

Last Results with these Odds

Cruz Azul - the odds 1.82 are the expected chance of winning is 51.39%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético San Luis
Mexican Liga MX
25.04.26	Juárez - Atlético San Luis	2:1 ✺
22.04.26	Atlético San Luis - Santos Laguna	2:0 ✺
17.04.26	Atlético San Luis - UNAM	0:2 ✺
12.04.26	Toluca - Atlético San Luis	1:1 ✺
04.04.26	Monterrey - Atlético San Luis	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.5 LWLTW
- Cruz Azul FC
Club Friendly
04.07.26	Atlético Morelia - Cruz Azul	3:3 ✺
Mexican Liga MX
24.05.26	UNAM - Cruz Azul	1:2 ✺
21.05.26	Cruz Azul - UNAM	0:0 ✺
16.05.26	Chivas Guadalajara - Cruz Azul	1:2 ✺
13.05.26	Cruz Azul - Chivas Guadalajara	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 TWTWT

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga MX
07.03.26	Cruz Azul - Atlético San Luis	3:0
11.08.25	Atlético San Luis - Cruz Azul	1:2
15.03.25	Cruz Azul - Atlético San Luis	3:0
17.09.24	Atlético San Luis - Cruz Azul	3:1
10.02.24	Cruz Azul - Atlético San Luis	3:0
29.09.23	Atlético San Luis - Cruz Azul	1:2
18.03.23	Cruz Azul - Atlético San Luis	1:0

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