Match Info

Liga MX - Clausura - Play Offs - Final

Date: 21 May 2026, Thursday

Location: Estadio Ciudad de los Deportes (Mexico City)

Where to Watch on TV:


Mexico	Azteca 7, Azteca Deportes, Canal 5, TUDN, VIX, ViX Premium
South-america	ViX Latin America
Usa	CBS Sports Network, TUDN App, TUDN, Univision


	Cruz Azul		UNAM

	1	X	2
	1.62	3.9	4.75	Watch
	1.73	3.8	4.33
	1.68	3.7	4.7
	1.72	3.99	5.05
	1.77	3.78	4.49	Watch
	1.62	3.5	4.4
	1.74	3.99	4.63	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.7 ↑ (1.67)	3.81 ↓ (4.09)	4.62 ↑ (4.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cruz Azul
55.2%

Draw
24.6%

UNAM
20.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.4%

23%

20.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.4%

21.8%

19.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cruz Azul has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

UNAM has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cruz Azul than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for UNAM than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Cruz Azul - UNAM Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Cruz Azul will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). UNAM will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Mier K. (G) 16. Marquez J. 4. Ditta W. 33. Piovi G. 3. Campos O. 17. Garcia A. 8. Palavecino A. 20. Paradela J. 19. Rodriguez C. (C) 29. Rotondi C. 11. Ebere C.	1. Navas K. (C) 7. Lopez R. 6. Nathan Silva 5. Duarte R. 21. Antuna U. 20. Trigos S. 45. Vite P. 33. Carrillo J. 77. Angulo A. 31. Morales R. 23. Juninho
Substitutes
170. Castro A. 21. Fernandez G. 1. Gudino A. (G) 214. Levy M. 10. Montano A. 194. Morales A. 5. Orozco J. 22. Rodarte J. 18. Romero L. 193. Velazquez K.	215. Azuaje A. 2. Bennevendo P. 28. Carrasquilla A. 14. Garza C. 35. Lara P. (G) 24. Leone T. 193. Ramirez D. 26. Rico A. 19. Rivas J. 15. Rivas U.
Coaches
Huiqui J.	Juarez E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
42', Marquez J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
49', Garcia A. 🟨,
56', Angulo A. 🟨,
57', Juninho ↓, Carrasquilla A. ↑,
64', Ebere C. ↓, Fernandez G. ↑,
70', Vite P. 🟨,
81', Paradela J. ↓, Romero L. ↑,
81', Campos O. ↓, Morales A. ↑,
84', Antuna U. ↓, Bennevendo P. ↑,
89', Rodriguez C. ↓, Montano A. ↑,

Preview

First leg.

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cruz Azul won 2.

Cruz Azul is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).

UNAM has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

UNAM may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Cruz Azul is considered a favorite.

We predict that Cruz Azul will win today's game, with odds of 1.73.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Cruz Azul won 10 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 35:29. (average 1.8:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Cruz Azul won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 16:14. (average 1.8:1.6).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Cruz Azul	10	5	1	4	19:18	1	16
13	UNAM Pumas	10	3	3	4	14:16	-2	12

Last Results with these Odds

Cruz Azul - the odds 1.67 are the expected chance of winning is 56.37%, but this team recently wins 70% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cruz Azul FC
Mexican Liga MX
16.05.26	Chivas Guadalajara - Cruz Azul	1:2 ✺
13.05.26	Cruz Azul - Chivas Guadalajara	2:2 ✺
09.05.26	Cruz Azul - Atlas	1:0 ✺
02.05.26	Atlas - Cruz Azul	2:3 ✺
26.04.26	Cruz Azul - Necaxa	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 WTWWW
- UNAM Pumas
Mexican Liga MX
17.05.26	UNAM - Pachuca	1:0 ✺
14.05.26	Pachuca - UNAM	1:0 ✺
10.05.26	UNAM - Club América	3:3 ✺
03.05.26	Club América - UNAM	3:3 ✺
25.04.26	Pachuca - UNAM	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.9 WLTTW

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga MX
14.03.26	UNAM - Cruz Azul	2:2
08.11.25	Cruz Azul - UNAM	2:3
05.04.25	Cruz Azul - UNAM	3:2
26.10.24	UNAM - Cruz Azul	0:2
12.05.24	Cruz Azul - UNAM	2:2
09.05.24	UNAM - Cruz Azul	0:2
30.03.24	UNAM - Cruz Azul	0:0

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