Match Info

Serie B - Round 15

Date: 26 June 2025, Thursday

Where to Watch on TV:


Ecuador	Canal del Futbol, Zapping


	Atlético Vinotinto		Guayaquil City

	1	X	2
	1.98	3	3.4
	2.22	2.85	3.71
				Watch
	2.05	2.9	3.6
	2.15	2.78	3.65	Watch
	2.35	3.35	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.15 ↑ (1.98)	2.98 ↓ (3.55)	3.4 ↑ (3.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético Vinotinto
42.5%

Draw
30.7%

Guayaquil City
26.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.5%

25.4%

29.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47%

26.2%

28.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Vinotinto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Guayaquil City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Vinotinto than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guayaquil City than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	16.7%	16.7%

Atlético Vinotinto - Guayaquil City Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Atlético Vinotinto will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Guayaquil City will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Atlético Vinotinto (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Guayaquil City (votes: 4 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
17', 1 - 0, Vidal P. ⚽,
31', 2 - 0, Vargas P. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
50', 3 - 0, Vargas P. ⚽,
71', 3 - 1, Ordonez J. ⚽,
89', 3 - 2, Angulo Avila E. A. ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 10 in the zone Serie B (Relegation Group: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Promotion Group: )).

Atlético Vinotinto is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Guayaquil City is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Atlético Vinotinto may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Atlético Vinotinto won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Vinotinto
Ecuadorian Serie B
18.06.25	Independiente Juniors - Atlético Vinotinto	3:0 ✺
12.06.25	Atlético Vinotinto - San Antonio	1:1 ✺
04.06.25	Vargas Torres - Atlético Vinotinto	2:2 ✺
28.05.25	Atlético Vinotinto - 9 de Octubre	0:1 ✺
22.05.25	Gualaceo - Atlético Vinotinto	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LTTLL
- Guayaquil City FC
Ecuadorian Serie B
19.06.25	9 de Octubre - Guayaquil City	0:1 ✺
12.06.25	Guayaquil City - Independiente Juniors	1:0 ✺
05.06.25	San Antonio - Guayaquil City	0:1 ✺
29.05.25	Guayaquil City - Gualaceo	2:0 ✺
22.05.25	Cumbayá - Guayaquil City	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.3 WWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Ecuadorian Serie B
17.04.25	Guayaquil City - Atlético Vinotinto	3:2

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