The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Cumbayá 39.8%
Draw 30%
Guayaquil City 30.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
47.6%
28.1%
24.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
47.4%
28%
24.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cumbayá has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cumbayá's form might have worsened.
Guayaquil City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Guayaquil City's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cumbayá than the current prediction. (+7.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cumbayá, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guayaquil City than the current prediction. (-5.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Guayaquil City, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
12.5%
20.8%
66.7%
Cumbayá - Guayaquil City Predictions
Users Predictions:
24 users predict this event. Cumbayá will win (votes: 3 - 12.5%). Guayaquil City will win (votes: 16 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 20.8%). Confidence interval (95%) for Guayaquil City: 47.8% – 85.6%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 16 Selected Experts predict this event. Cumbayá (votes: 2 - 12.5%). Guayaquil City (votes: 9 - 56.3%). Tie (votes: 5 - 31.3%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 22 Selected Experts predict this event. Cumbayá (votes: 3 - 13.6%). Guayaquil City (votes: 14 - 63.6%). Tie (votes: 5 - 22.7%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
Preview
This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Promotion Group: ) and 9 in the zone Serie B (Relegation Group: )).
Cumbayá has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Guayaquil City has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Guayaquil City may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cumbayá won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:10. (average 1.4:2).
Including home matches between the teams, Cumbayá won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:2. (average 2.5:1).
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