The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Atlético de Rafaela 45.2%
Draw 31.3%
Quilmes 23.4%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
35.8%
32%
32.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
35.9%
32.1%
32%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atlético de Rafaela has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Atlético de Rafaela's performance.
Quilmes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Quilmes might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético de Rafaela than the current prediction. (-9.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Atlético de Rafaela that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Quilmes than the current prediction. (+8.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Quilmes could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
33.3%
33.3%
33.3%
Atlético de Rafaela - Quilmes Predictions
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Atlético Rafaela will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Quilmes will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Bergia M. (G) 9. Albertengo L. (C) 2. Yegros U. 6. Ponce F. 3. Wuattier E. 8. Pepino E. 5. Soloa F. 11. Cainelli N. 7. Moreno M. 4. Solveyra A. 10. Obando A.
1. Marinelli G. (G) 10. Batista A. 3. Bindella A. 11. Aimale J. 6. Novillo J. 8. Ortega A. 4. Rodriguez S. 2. Romeo L. 9. Spetale A. 7. Vega G. 5. Yozwiak F.
Substitutes
19. Bonifacio J. 15. Capurro J. 17. Flores L. 12. Martinez R. (G) 13. Mondino V. 20. Protti I. 14. Ramirez R. 18. Rodriguez A. 16. Suarez R.
12. Canadell J. (G) 16. Colazo N. 20. Coronel J. 18. Fernandez M. 15. Martinez R. 13. Ortega T. 14. Vallejos M. 19. Vazquez G. 17. Yangali J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
2', 1 - 0, Moreno M. (Penalty Awarded),
40', Novillo J. 🟨,
45', Ortega A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
51', Solveyra A. 🟥,
54', Ortega A. ↓, Vazquez G. ↑,
58', Obando A. 🟨,
62', Albertengo L. ↓, Flores L. ↑,
64', Aimale J. 🟨,
68', Moreno M. 🟥,
69', Pepino E. ↓, Capurro J. ↑,
70', Obando A. ↓, Ramirez R. ↑,
70', Soloa F. 🟨,
72', Novillo J. ↓, Colazo N. ↑,
72', Aimale J. ↓, Martinez R. ↑,
75', Colazo N. 🟨,
81', Martinez R. 🟥,
84', Yozwiak F. ↓, Fernandez M. ↑,
90+1', Wuattier E. ↓, Rodriguez A. ↑,
Preview
A mid-table side takes on an opponent fighting to pull away from the danger zone (ranked 11th and 14th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlético Rafaela won 3.
Recent results have been tough for Atlético Rafaela (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Performances by Quilmes have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
In the last 16 head-to-head meetings, Atlético Rafaela has recorded 4 wins, 8 draws, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 20:23 (averaging 1.3:1.4 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Atlético Rafaela against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses, with 13:15 goals (averaging 1.3:1.5 per game).
Watch
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Bergia M. (G) 
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