Match Info

ARGENTINA: PRIMERA NACIONAL - ROUND 7

Date: 26 March 2023, Sunday

Location: Estadio Nuevo Monumental (Rafaela)

Referee: Lobo Medina L. (Arg)


	Atlético de Rafaela		Quilmes

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.2	3.25
	2.1	3.1	3.4
	2	3.1	3.5
	2.19	3.11	3.74
	2.1	3	3.4
	2.11	3.28	3.58
	2.13	3.2	3.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.1 ↓ (2.43)	3.14 ↑ (3.06)	3.46 ↑ (2.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Atlético de Rafaela
43.9%

Draw
29.4%

Quilmes
26.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.7%

29.9%

32.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.9%

30.9%

31.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético de Rafaela has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Atlético de Rafaela's performance.

Quilmes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Quilmes might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético de Rafaela than the current prediction. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Quilmes than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	40%	20%

Atlético de Rafaela - Quilmes Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Atlético Rafaela will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Quilmes will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Profesional).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Atlético de Rafaela won 2.

Recent matches Atlético de Rafaela is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Quilmes is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Atlético de Rafaela will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 13 head-to-head matches Atlético de Rafaela won 2 matches, drawn 8 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 17-20.

Including matches at home between the teams Atlético de Rafaela won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 12-15.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético de Rafaela
Argentinian Primera Nacional
18.03.23	Gimnasia Jujuy - Atlético de Rafaela	1:0 ✺
10.03.23	Atlético de Rafaela - Ferro Carril Oeste	1:2 ✺
03.03.23	Deportivo Riestra - Atlético de Rafaela	0:2 ✺
26.02.23	Atlético de Rafaela - Racing de Córdoba	2:1 ✺
20.02.23	Atlanta Buenos Aires - Atlético de Rafaela	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 LLWWT
- Quilmes AC
Argentinian Primera Nacional
18.03.23	Quilmes - Estudiantes de Caseros	2:0 ✺
11.03.23	Brown de Adrogué - Quilmes	1:0 ✺
05.03.23	Quilmes - Aldosivi	4:1 ✺
25.02.23	Quilmes - Gimnasia Jujuy	2:1 ✺
17.02.23	Ferro Carril Oeste - Quilmes	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
07.05.22	Atlético de Rafaela - Quilmes	1:2
24.01.21	Atlético de Rafaela - Quilmes	3:2 penalties
02.03.20	Quilmes - Atlético de Rafaela	1:1
09.09.19	Atlético de Rafaela - Quilmes	0:0
27.08.18	Atlético de Rafaela - Quilmes	2:1
16.04.18	Atlético de Rafaela - Quilmes	0:2
Argentinian Liga Profesional
17.06.17	Atlético de Rafaela - Quilmes	1:1

Upcoming Matches