Match Info

MEXICO: LIGA DE EXPANSION MX - CLAUSURA - ROUND 17

Date: 23 April 2023, Sunday

Location: Estadio Ciudad de los Deportes (Mexico City)

Referee: Armenta J. (Mex)


	Atlante		Alacranes de Durango

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.47	4	5.25
	1.47	4.2	6
	1.59	3.96	5.98
	1.42	3.9	6.5
	1.5	4.1	6.1
	1.5	4.1	5.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.49 ↑ (1.47)	4.04 ↑ (3.88)	5.91 ↓ (6.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlante
61.7%

Draw
22.8%

Alacranes de Durango
15.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.1%

23.6%

14.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.5%

23.1%

14%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlante has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Alacranes de Durango has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlante than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alacranes de Durango than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

Atlante - Alacranes de Durango Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 16).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

In this match Atlante is absolute favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Atlante won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlante FC
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
12.04.23	Atlético La Paz - Atlante	1:2 ✺
06.04.23	Atlante - Correcaminos UAT	2:1 ✺
30.03.23	Tepatitlán de Morelos - Atlante	0:0 ✺
26.03.23	Atlante - Leones Negros UdeG	0:0 ✺
23.03.23	Atlante - Tlaxcala	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WWTTL
- Alacranes de Durango
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
12.04.23	Alacranes de Durango - Tapatío	2:5 ✺
04.04.23	Raya2 Expansión - Alacranes de Durango	1:1 ✺
29.03.23	Alacranes de Durango - Correcaminos UAT	1:0 ✺
26.03.23	Tlaxcala - Alacranes de Durango	1:2 ✺
22.03.23	Alacranes de Durango - Pumas Tabasco	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.3 LTWWT

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
31.08.22	Alacranes de Durango - Atlante	1:1

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