Match Info

MEXICO: LIGA DE EXPANSION MX - CLAUSURA - ROUND 13

Date: 26 March 2023, Sunday

Location: Estadio Tlahuicole (Tlaxcala)


	Tlaxcala		Alacranes de Durango

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.2	2.95
	2.23	3.25	3.05
	2.32	3.33	3.19
	2.2	3	3.1
	2.22	3.28	3.13
	2.23	3.2	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.23 ↑ (1.93)	3.21 ↑ (3.15)	3.07 ↓ (3.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tlaxcala
41.4%

Draw
28.7%

Alacranes de Durango
30%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.2%

28.9%

23.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.9%

27.9%

23.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tlaxcala has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Tlaxcala's form might have worsened.

Alacranes de Durango has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Alacranes de Durango's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tlaxcala than the current prediction. (+7.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tlaxcala, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alacranes de Durango than the current prediction. (-6.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Alacranes de Durango, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Tlaxcala - Alacranes de Durango Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Tlaxcala will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Alacranes de Durango will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 16).

Recent matches Tlaxcala is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Alacranes de Durango is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Tlaxcala could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Tlaxcala will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Tlaxcala won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tlaxcala FC
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
23.03.23	Atlante - Tlaxcala	0:2 ✺
14.03.23	Tlaxcala - Venados	1:1 ✺
08.03.23	Tlaxcala - Cancún	1:0 ✺
03.03.23	Celaya - Tlaxcala	1:1 ✺
21.02.23	Tlaxcala - Tapatío	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 30.9 WTWTL
- Alacranes de Durango
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
22.03.23	Alacranes de Durango - Pumas Tabasco	1:1 ✺
19.03.23	Celaya - Alacranes de Durango	2:1 ✺
07.03.23	Alacranes de Durango - Dorados	3:0 ✺
28.02.23	Atlético La Paz - Alacranes de Durango	2:1 ✺
22.02.23	Venados - Alacranes de Durango	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 TLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
02.08.22	Alacranes de Durango - Tlaxcala	3:0

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