Match Info

MEXICO: LIGA DE EXPANSION MX - CLAUSURA - ROUND 14

Date: 29 March 2023, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Francisco Zarco (Durango)

Referee: Suarez M. A. (Mex)


	Alacranes de Durango		Correcaminos UAT

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.25	3.3
	1.95	3.4	3.55
	2.07	3.48	3.63
	1.95	3.1	3.6
	1.99	3.42	3.56
	2.06	3.35	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2 ↓ (2.07)	3.33 ↓ (3.45)	3.48 ↑ (3.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alacranes de Durango
46.1%

Draw
27.6%

Correcaminos UAT
26.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.7%

26.8%

28.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.3%

26%

29.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alacranes de Durango has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Correcaminos UAT has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alacranes de Durango than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Correcaminos UAT than the current prediction. (+3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	12.5%	37.5%

Alacranes de Durango - Correcaminos UAT Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Alacranes de Durango will win (votes: 4 - 50%). Correcaminos will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Alacranes de Durango: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 13 and 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

Recent matches Alacranes de Durango is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Correcaminos is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Correcaminos could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Alacranes de Durango will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Alacranes de Durango won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alacranes de Durango
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
26.03.23	Tlaxcala - Alacranes de Durango	1:2 ✺
22.03.23	Alacranes de Durango - Pumas Tabasco	1:1 ✺
19.03.23	Celaya - Alacranes de Durango	2:1 ✺
07.03.23	Alacranes de Durango - Dorados	3:0 ✺
28.02.23	Atlético La Paz - Alacranes de Durango	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WTLWL
- Correcaminos UAT
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
25.03.23	Correcaminos UAT - Mineros de Zacatecas	1:0 ✺
22.03.23	Raya2 Expansión - Correcaminos UAT	0:4 ✺
14.03.23	Correcaminos UAT - Tepatitlán de Morelos	2:1 ✺
07.03.23	Atlético La Paz - Correcaminos UAT	4:1 ✺
01.03.23	Correcaminos UAT - Cimarrones de Sonora	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.2 WWWLT

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
12.07.22	Correcaminos UAT - Alacranes de Durango	5:3

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