The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Atlante 61.7%
Draw 22.3%
Mineros de Zacatecas 16.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
66.8%
19.7%
13.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
69.9%
20.6%
12.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atlante has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Atlante's form might have worsened.
Mineros de Zacatecas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlante than the current prediction. (+8.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Atlante, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mineros de Zacatecas than the current prediction. (-3.3%)
Atlante - Mineros de Zacatecas Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
26. Beltran R. (G) 10. Alonzo J. 22. Calzadilla L. 6. Carrera J. N. 3. Cruz D. 27. Escobar A. 16. Gonzalez J. 21. Ibarra J. 34. Jimenez E. 5. Meza H. (C) 9. Puente L.
1. Duran L. (G) 17. De Los Rios S. 23. Garcia A. 12. Hernandez L. 11. Lopez F. 19. Magana K. 14. Mazatan O. 18. Mendoza A. (C) 13. Perez M. 8. Trejo E. 15. Villacorta A.
Substitutes
1. Barragan R. (G) 18. Bermudez C. 15. Charcopa J. 7. Garcia M. 13. Garcia Pardo M. 8. Gonzalez R. 19. Gonzalez S. 11. Hernandez I. 24. Pizzuto E. 20. Tovar J.
10. Avila J. 3. Barajas V. 20. Castro Garcia W. D. 2. Cervantes L. 9. Machado J. 4. Marmolejo D. 102. Montes J. 24. Padilla P. 6. Rios P. 22. Valenzuela J. (G)
Coaches
Carbajal R.
Munoz L.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
19', 1 - 0, Calzadilla L. ⚽, Ibarra J. (A),
38', 1 - 1, Mendoza A. ⚽,
41', Villacorta A. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Perez M. ↓, Machado J. ↑,
46', Lopez F. ↓, Montes J. ↑,
58', 2 - 1, Puente L. (Penalty Awarded),
60', Puente L. ↓, Gonzalez S. ↑,
69', Jimenez E. ↓, Charcopa J. ↑,
69', Ibarra J. ↓, Bermudez C. ↑,
69', Trejo E. ↓, Avila J. ↑,
69', Mazatan O. ↓, Cervantes L. ↑,
75', Charcopa J. 🟨,
77', De Los Rios S. ↓, Padilla P. ↑,
79', Montes J. 🟥,
83', Calzadilla L. ↓, Gonzalez R. ↑,
83', Gonzalez J. ↓, Garcia Pardo M. ↑,
90+6', 3 - 1, Gonzalez S. ⚽,
Preview
This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlante won 3.
In recent matches, Atlante has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Mineros de Zacatecas is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
Mineros de Zacatecas may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Atlante is a strong favorite.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Atlante won 11 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 29:17. (average 1.5:0.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Atlante won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 14:5. (average 1.6:0.6).
Mexico
Watch
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Beltran R. (G) 
Carrera J. N. 
Villacorta A. 
Charcopa J. 
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