Match Info

Liga de Expansion MX - Apertura - Round 14

Date: 24 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estadio El Encanto (Mazatlan) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Ortega O. (Mex)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Argentina	23:00	Disney+
Brazil	23:00	Disney+
Chile	23:00	Disney+
Colombia	21:00	Disney+
Mexico	20:00	Disney+, ESPN 3
North Central America	—	Disney+ Caribbean
Peru	21:00	Disney+
Uruguay	23:00	Disney+
Venezuela	22:00	Disney+


	Dorados		Piratas de Veracruz

	1	X	2
	3.90	3.70	1.68
	4.00	3.70	1.71
	4.29	4.04	1.76
	4.33	4.08	1.7	Watch
	4.20	4.00	1.72
	4.07	3.78	1.68	Watch
	4.10	3.75	1.73
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.13 ↓ (4.31)	3.86 ↓ (4.01)	1.71 ↑ (1.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dorados
22.3%

Draw
23.8%

Piratas de Veracruz
53.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

21.7%

23.3%

55%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.2%

22.8%

56.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dorados has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Piratas de Veracruz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dorados than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Piratas de Veracruz than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

Dorados - Piratas de Veracruz Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Castro J. (G) 20. Osuna D. 22. Gonzalez Rodriguez W. 32. Castro C. 18. Cervantes S. 5. Flores A. 27. Flores M. 13. Padilla G. 11. Contreras F. 17. Pena F. (C) 10. Vargas L.	20. Hernandez H. (C) 14. Gonzalez R. 4. Lopez A. 22. Garcia U. 3. Jaime Sanchez K. Y. 6. Cruz D. 23. Venegas J. 16. Fernandez C. 8. Figueroa B. 25. Lajud Martinez D. 28. Gamboa J.
Substitutes
7. Alvarez J. 12. Egana A. 8. Galicia C. 3. Garcia D. 15. Leyva C. 28. Ordorica B. 35. Porozo J. 23. Sanchez B. 30. Vaal J. (G)	26. Clemente J. 19. Doumbouya I. 9. Garcia F. 24. Gomez J. (G) 10. Lopez G. 17. Ochoa E. 15. Palomares R. 13. Sanchez D. 7. Soto O. 21. Vargas E.
Coaches
Orozco L.	Garcia M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
15', Osuna D. 🟨,
37', Flores M. 🟨,
45+4', 0 - 1, Cruz D. ⚽, Jaime Sanchez K. Y. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 4)
46', Flores M. ↓, Leyva C. ↑,
46', Flores A. ↓, Sanchez B. ↑,
55', Lopez A. 🟨,
73', Osuna D. ↓, Garcia D. ↑,
73', Vargas L. ↓, Ordorica B. ↑,
77', 0 - 2, Cruz D. ⚽, Figueroa B. (A),
80', Castro C. ↓, Egana A. ↑,
85', Figueroa B. ↓, Soto O. ↑,
85', Lajud Martinez D. ↓, Garcia F. ↑,
85', Gonzalez R. ↓, Ochoa E. ↑,
88', 0 - 3, Fernandez C. ⚽, Ochoa E. (A),
90', Sanchez B. 🟨,
90+1', Gamboa J. ↓, Sanchez D. ↑,
90+1', Fernandez C. ↓, Lopez G. ↑,
90+2', 0 - 4, Soto O. ⚽, Garcia F. (A),
90+6', 0 - 5, Sanchez D. ⚽, Soto O. (A),

Preview

A competitive mid-table side looks to challenge an upper-table opponent (ranked 11th and 5th in the Promotion - Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura - Playoffs - Quarter - finals)).

Recent results have been tough for Dorados (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Performances by Piratas have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Piratas may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Piratas carries the favorite tag into this contest.

No recent head-to-head matches have been recorded between these two competitors.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Piratas ✔	14	7	3	4	26:14	12	24
13	Dorados de Sinaloa	14	4	4	6	23:29	-6	16

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dorados de Sinaloa
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
16.10.26	Correcaminos UAT - Dorados	1:2 ✺
10.10.26	Dorados - Cruz Azul Hidalgo	1:3 ✺
04.10.26	Leones Negros UdeG - Dorados	6:3 ✺
26.09.26	Dorados - Alacranes de Durango	0:1 ✺
19.09.26	Jaiba Brava - Dorados	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 WLLLT
- Piratas de Veracruz
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
17.10.26	Piratas de Veracruz - Tepatitlán de Morelos	3:0 ✺
10.10.26	Tlaxcala - Piratas de Veracruz	4:2 ✺
03.10.26	Piratas de Veracruz - Alebrijes de Oaxaca	4:0 ✺
24.09.26	Mineros de Zacatecas - Piratas de Veracruz	3:0 ✺
18.09.26	Piratas de Veracruz - Venados	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 WLWLW

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