Match Info

Date: 22 April 2021, Thursday


	Atlético Madrid		Huesca

	1	X	2
	1.36	4.75	10	Watch
	1.4	4.5	9
	1.38	4.75	9.5
	1.39	4.4	9.2
	1.36	4.89	10.51
	1.38	4.5	9.5	Watch
	1.35	4.95	10.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.37 ↓ (1.41)	4.68 ↑ (4.49)	9.74 ↑ (8.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético Madrid
69.7%

Draw
20.5%

Huesca
9.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.6%

21.3%

11.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.5%

11.8%

20%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Madrid has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Huesca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Madrid than the current prediction. (-32.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Atlético Madrid that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Huesca than the current prediction. (+10.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Huesca could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
92.6%	5.2%	2.2%

Atlético Madrid - Huesca Predictions

Users Predictions: Atlético Madrid will win (213 of 230 users predict this - 92.61%).
Confidence interval (95%): 89.23% – 95.99%. The data is statistically significant.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

No spectators.

This match will be played by one of a leader and outsider (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion to Champions League (Group Stage) and 18 in the zone Relegation to LaLiga2).

Atlético is Qualified for Champions League (Group Stage)

Atlético has not chance of relegated, was already of qualify for ucl, has a chance of win league (29%).

Huesca has a chance of relegated (46%), has not chance of qualify for ucl.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

In this match Atlético is absolute favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Atlético won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-0.

Including matches at home between the teams Atlético won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Madrid
Spanish LaLiga
18.04.21	Atlético Madrid - Eibar	5:0 ✺
11.04.21	Betis - Atlético Madrid	1:1 ✺
04.04.21	Sevilla - Atlético Madrid	1:0 ✺
21.03.21	Atlético Madrid - Deportivo Alavés	1:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
17.03.21	Chelsea - Atlético Madrid	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 WTLWL
- SD Huesca
Spanish LaLiga
18.04.21	Deportivo Alavés - Huesca	1:0 ✺
09.04.21	Huesca - Elche	3:1 ✺
02.04.21	Levante - Huesca	0:2 ✺
20.03.21	Huesca - Osasuna	0:0 ✺
15.03.21	Barcelona - Huesca	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 LWWTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga
30.09.20	Huesca - Atlético Madrid	0:0
19.01.19	Huesca - Atlético Madrid	0:3
25.09.18	Atlético Madrid - Huesca	3:0

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