Match Info

Copa Sudamericana - Play Offs - 1/16-finals

Date: 24 July 2025, Thursday

Location: MRV Arena (Belo Horizonte)

Referee: Ostojich E. (Uru)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DirecTV Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 6, beIN Sports MENA English 1, TOD
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Belarus	Okko Sport
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 1
Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
Canada	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+, ESPN
Croatia	Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 3
Indonesia	Mola TV
Israel	Sport 4
Italy	Como TV
Malaysia	Mola
Mexico	Disney+
Netherlands	Canal+
New-zealand	beIN Connect
Peru	Disney+, ESPN
Portugal	Sport TV1
Serbia	Arena Premium 1
Slovenia	Arena Sport 1 Premium
South-america	DGO Latin America, ESPN South
Spain	LaLiga+
Turkey	Exxen, S Sport 2, S Sport+
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz
Venezuela	Disney+, DSports 1, ESPN, Inter


	Atlético Mineiro		Atlético Bucaramanga

	1	X	2
	1.5	4	7	Watch
	1.47	4.33	6.5
	1.49	3.95	6.4	Watch
	1.52	4.05	7.1
	1.58	3.54	6.55	Watch
	1.44	4	6.5	Watch
	1.51	3.94	6.88	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 ↑ (1.19)	3.97 ↓ (6.65)	6.7 ↓ (13.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético Mineiro
62.4%

Draw
23.6%

Atlético Bucaramanga
14%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

78.9%

14.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Mineiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-16.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Atlético Mineiro's form might have worsened.

Atlético Bucaramanga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Atlético Bucaramanga's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Atlético Mineiro - Atlético Bucaramanga Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Atlético MG will win (votes: 6 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Atlético Mineiro will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Everson (G) 2. Natanael 4. Lyanco 6. Alonso J. 38. Caio Paulista 8. Fausto Vera 10. Gustavo Scarpa 33. Rony 17. Igor Gomes 92. Dudu 7. Hulk (C)	1. Quintana A. (G) 18. Alba I. 2. Mena J. (C) 29. Henao C. 8. Hinestroza F. 20. Zarate A. 22. Fabry 17. Gil Mosquera F. A. 10. Sambueza F. 7. Londono K. 27. Pons L.
Substitutes
11. Bernard 28. Cuello 1. Gabriel Delfim (G) 25. Gabriel Menino 16. Igor Rabello 30. Isaac 19. Joao Marcelo 37. Junior Santos 31. Robert (G) 23. Roman I. 47. Romulus 14. Vitor Hugo	32. Castellanos O. (G) 70. Charrupi F. 15. Chavez D. 25. De Las Salas C. 28. Flores L. 4. Garcia J. 19. Gutierrez A. 13. Hernandez N. 11. Jhon Vasquez 14. Mosquera J. 23. Romana C. 12. Vasquez Caicedo L. E. (G)
Coaches
Cuca	Alvarez L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
10', Caio Paulista 🟨,
17', Fausto Vera 🟨,
42', Alba I. 🟨,
44', Alonso J. 🟨,
45', 0 - 1, Mena J. ⚽, Sambueza F. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Igor Gomes ↓, Cuello ↑,
46', Alba I. ↓, Gutierrez A. ↑,
50', Sambueza F. 🟨,
61', Dudu ↓, Junior Santos ↑,
61', Rony ↓, Bernard ↑,
64', Gil Mosquera F. A. ↓, Jhon Vasquez ↑,
64', Sambueza F. ↓, Chavez D. ↑,
75', Londono K. ↓, Romana C. ↑,
76', Hinestroza F. ↓, Garcia J. ↑,
85', Caio Paulista ↓, Joao Marcelo ↑,
88', Zarate A. 🟨,
90', Vitor Hugo 🟨,
90+3', Natanael ↓, Gabriel Menino ↑,
Penalties (3 - 1)
1, Hulk (Pen),
1, Chavez D. (Pen),
2, Gustavo Scarpa (Pen),
2, Henao C. (Pen),
3, Bernard (Pen),
3, Mena J. (Pen),
4, Gabriel Menino (Pen),
4, Zarate A. (Pen),
5, Everson (Pen),

Preview

1st leg result: 1-0. 2nd leg.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Bucaramanga may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Atlético MG has had a series of away games.

In this match, Atlético MG is the obvious favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Atlético MG won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Mineiro
Brazilian Serie A
20.07.25	Palmeiras - Atlético Mineiro	3:2 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
17.07.25	Atlético Bucaramanga - Atlético Mineiro	0:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
12.07.25	Bahia - Atlético Mineiro	2:1 ✺
12.06.25	Atlético Mineiro - Internacional RS	2:0 ✺
01.06.25	Ceará - Atlético Mineiro	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 LWLWW
- Atlético Bucaramanga
Copa Sudamericana
17.07.25	Atlético Bucaramanga - Atlético Mineiro	0:1 ✺
Colombian Primera A
12.07.25	Atlético Bucaramanga - Boyacá Chicó	1:1 ✺
Colombian Copa
13.06.25	Boca Juniors de Cali - Atlético Bucaramanga	0:1 ✺
10.06.25	Atlético Bucaramanga - Boyacá Chicó	3:2 ✺
06.06.25	Deportes Quindío - Atlético Bucaramanga	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LTWWT

Latest Head to Head

Copa Sudamericana
17.07.25	Atlético Bucaramanga - Atlético Mineiro	0:1

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