Match Info

Date: 29 May 2022, Sunday

Location: Mineirão (Belo Horizonte)

Referee: Ferreira J. (Bra)


	Atlético Mineiro		Avaí

	1	X	2
	1.25	5.5	13
	1.25	6	12
	1.18	6.25	15
	1.24	5.6	11
	1.24	6.28	13.36
	1.22	5.5	13	Watch
	1.25	5.85	12.75	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.23 ↓ (1.24)	5.85 ↑ (5)	12.87 ↓ (13)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético Mineiro
76.5%

Draw
16.1%

Avaí
7.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

74.4%

18.5%

7.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Mineiro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Avaí has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
65%	5%	30%

Atlético Mineiro - Avaí Predictions

Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Atlético MG will win (votes: 13 - 65%). Avaí will win (votes: 6 - 30%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Atlético MG: 44.1% – 85.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage) and 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage)).

Atlético MG has the most likely position - 1 (20.04%), has project points - 66, has currently - 12, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of win league (20%).

Avaí has the most likely position - 19 (10.23%), has project points - 43, has currently - 10, has a chance of relegated (38%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

This event has quality 48, importance 47, match rating 48. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Atlético MG won 3.

Atlético MG is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Avaí is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Avaí could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Atlético MG is absolute favorite.

There will not play in Atlético MG: Dodo (Injury) Vargas E. (Injury)

Last 6 head-to-head matches Atlético MG won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 10-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Atlético MG won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Mineiro
Copa Libertadores
25.05.22	Atlético Mineiro - Deportes Tolima	1:2 ✺
Copa do Brasil
22.05.22	Brasiliense - Atlético Mineiro	0:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
19.05.22	Atlético Mineiro - Independiente del Valle	3:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
14.05.22	Atlético Mineiro - Atlético Goianiense	2:0 ✺
11.05.22	Red Bull Bragantino - Atlético Mineiro	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LWWWT
- Avaí
Brazilian Serie A
22.05.22	Athletico Paranaense - Avaí	2:1 ✺
15.05.22	Avaí - Juventude	1:2 ✺
09.05.22	Avaí - Coritiba	2:1 ✺
01.05.22	Internacional RS - Avaí	0:0 ✺
25.04.22	Avaí - Goiás	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.9 LLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie A
23.09.19	Avaí - Atlético Mineiro	1:0
27.04.19	Atlético Mineiro - Avaí	2:1
17.09.17	Avaí - Atlético Mineiro	1:1
07.06.17	Atlético Mineiro - Avaí	1:0
09.09.15	Atlético Mineiro - Avaí	2:0
03.06.15	Avaí - Atlético Mineiro	1:4

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