Match Info

Date: 25 May 2022, Wednesday

Location: Mineirão (Belo Horizonte)

Referee: Loustau P. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	Arena Sport
Portugal	Sport TV


	Atlético Mineiro		Deportes Tolima

	1	X	2
	1.33	4.75	11	Watch
	1.35	4.6	9
	1.38	4.4	9.5
	1.32	4.8	9
	1.33	4.58	12.38
	1.3	4	12	Watch
	1.32	4.45	13	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.33 ↓ (1.53)	4.51 ↑ (3.9)	10.84 ↑ (5.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Network on TV: beIN SPORTS 4

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Current Win Probability

Atlético Mineiro
70.5%

Draw
20.8%

Deportes Tolima
8.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.5%

23.7%

15.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62%

23.1%

15.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Mineiro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Atlético Mineiro's performance.

Deportes Tolima has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Deportes Tolima might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Mineiro than the current prediction. (-8.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Atlético Mineiro that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportes Tolima than the current prediction. (+6.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Deportes Tolima could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	48.1%	1.9%

Atlético Mineiro - Deportes Tolima Predictions

Users Predictions: 54 users predict this event. Atlético MG will win (votes: 27 - 50%). Deportes Tolima will win (votes: 1 - 1.9%). It will Tie (votes: 26 - 48.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Atlético MG: 36.7% – 63.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Atlético MG is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Deportes Tolima is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Atlético MG could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Atlético MG is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Atlético MG won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Mineiro
Copa do Brasil
22.05.22	Brasiliense - Atlético Mineiro	0:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
19.05.22	Atlético Mineiro - Independiente del Valle	3:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
14.05.22	Atlético Mineiro - Atlético Goianiense	2:0 ✺
11.05.22	Red Bull Bragantino - Atlético Mineiro	1:1 ✺
07.05.22	Atlético Mineiro - América Mineiro	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WWWTL
- Deportes Tolima
Colombian Primera A
21.05.22	Envigado - Deportes Tolima	1:4 ✺
Copa Libertadores
18.05.22	Deportes Tolima - América Mineiro	2:2 ✺
Colombian Primera A
14.05.22	Deportes Tolima - Envigado	1:1 ✺
Colombian Copa
11.05.22	Deportivo Pereira - Deportes Tolima	1:1 ✺
Colombian Primera A
08.05.22	Millonarios - Deportes Tolima	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WTTTT

Latest Head to Head

Copa Libertadores
06.04.22	Deportes Tolima - Atlético Mineiro	0:2

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