Match Info

SOUTH AMERICA: COPA LIBERTADORES - GROUP STAGE - ROUND 5

Date: 8 June 2023, Thursday

Location: Estadio Manuel Ferreira (Asunción)

Referee: Sampaio W. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	ESPN 4


	Olimpia Asuncion		Atlético Nacional

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.2	3.75	Watch
	2.15	3.1	3.5
	2.17	3.25	3.55
	2.24	3.25	3.57
	2	3.1	3.3
	2.16	3.22	3.52	Watch
	2.13	3.15	3.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.13 ↓ (2.14)	3.18 ↓ (3.21)	3.52 ↑ (3.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Olimpia Asuncion
44%

Draw
29.4%

Atlético Nacional
26.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.7%

29.1%

27.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.9%

28.6%

27.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Olimpia Asuncion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Atlético Nacional has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Olimpia Asuncion than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Nacional than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
44.4%	44.4%	11.1%

Olimpia Asuncion - Atlético Nacional Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Olimpia will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Atlético Nacional will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 44.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Olimpia: 11.9% – 76.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Olveira G. (G) 2. Zarate L. 23. Romana J. 15. Gamarra M. 36. Zabala F. 17. Gomez M. 11. Torres I. (C) 7. Fernandez H. 3. Silva A. 16. Paiva G. 14. Cardozo F.	23. Mier K. (G) 42. Castro C. 2. Zapata C. (C) 4. Salazar A. 13. Torres Patino J. P. 16. Mosquera S. 5. Duque J. 15. Palacio N. 10. Barrera J. 32. Ocampo E. 21. Angel Gutierrez T.
Substitutes
26. Barreto Viera O. J. 9. Bruera F. 32. Cornet R. 12. Espinola J. (G) 31. Franco Zayas A. F. 13. Gonzalez Ojeda P. M. (G) 6. Ortiz R. 20. Otalvaro S. 8. Quintana H. 18. Quintana S. 35. Torres D. 33. Wlk Dure A. S.	34. Agudelo D. (G) 3. Aguirre Tabares J. F. 17. Blanco C. 19. Candelo Y. 1. Castillo H. (G) 26. Deossa N. 9. Duque J. 27. Gomez S. 11. Jader 28. Mena Y. 31. Palacios Alzate B. 22. Perea O.
Coaches
Aguirre D.	Autuori P.

Preview

Atlético Nacional is Qualified for Copa Libertadores (Play Offs 1/8~finals)

Recent matches Olimpia is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Atlético Nacional is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Atlético Nacional could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Olimpia will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Olimpia won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Olimpia won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Olimpia Asuncion
Paraguayan Primera Division
02.06.23	Guaraní Asuncion - Olimpia Asuncion	1:2 ✺
29.05.23	Olimpia Asuncion - Sportivo Ameliano	1:3 ✺
Copa Libertadores
25.05.23	Patronato Parana - Olimpia Asuncion	0:2 ✺
Paraguayan Primera Division
20.05.23	Libertad Asuncion - Olimpia Asuncion	1:0 ✺
16.05.23	Olimpia Asuncion - General Caballero JLM	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WLWLT
- Atlético Nacional Medellin
Colombian Primera A
04.06.23	Rionegro Águilas - Atlético Nacional	0:1 ✺
01.06.23	Atlético Nacional - Rionegro Águilas	1:0 ✺
28.05.23	Atlético Nacional - Alianza Valledupar	1:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
24.05.23	FBC Melgar - Atlético Nacional	0:1 ✺
Colombian Primera A
20.05.23	Deportivo Pasto - Atlético Nacional	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 WWTWT

Latest Head to Head

Copa Libertadores
02.05.23	Atlético Nacional - Olimpia Asuncion	2:2
03.03.22	Atlético Nacional - Olimpia Asuncion	1:1
24.02.22	Olimpia Asuncion - Atlético Nacional	3:1

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