The best margin for this event is 10.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Atlético de Alagoinhas 46.5%
Draw 29.8%
Lagarto 23.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
51.9%
28.4%
19.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
52%
28.3%
19.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atlético de Alagoinhas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Atlético de Alagoinhas's form might have worsened.
Lagarto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético de Alagoinhas than the current prediction. (+5.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Atlético de Alagoinhas, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lagarto than the current prediction. (-4%)
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Preview
Atlético de Alagoinhas is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Recent matches Lagarto is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Atlético de Alagoinhas could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match Atlético de Alagoinhas is a favorite.