The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Atmosfera Mažeikiai 40.8%
Draw 25.9%
BFA Vilnius 33.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
40.4%
25.9%
33.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
42.8%
27.4%
31.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atmosfera Mažeikiai has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
BFA Vilnius has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atmosfera Mažeikiai than the current prediction. (+2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for BFA Vilnius than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
Atmosfera Mažeikiai - BFA Vilnius Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
10', 1 - 0, ⚽,
45+1', 1 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
Preview
A tightly contested fixture between two evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 9th and 7th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atmosfera won 2.
Recent results have been tough for Atmosfera (last 5 matches: 1 win).
BFA is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
BFA may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Atmosfera has faced a series of away games on the road.
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
In the last 13 head-to-head meetings, Atmosfera has recorded 6 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 26:19 (averaging 2:1.5 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Atmosfera against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 2 draws, and 3 losses, with 12:14 goals (averaging 2:2.3 per game).