Match Info

Premier League - Round 13

Date: 13 June 2026, Saturday

Location: Almaty Central Stadium (Almaty)

Referee: Sulikanov S. (Kaz)

Where to Watch on TV:


Kazakhstan	Qazsport


	Kairat		Atyrau

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.28	4.75	8.75
	1.25	4.60	8.50	Watch
	1.30	4.70	11.63
	1.25	5.02	11.53	Watch
	1.30	4.20	10.00
	1.37	4.62	8.25	Watch
	1.4	3.8	7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.31 ↓ (1.46)	4.53 ↑ (3.8)	9.38 ↑ (7.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kairat
70%

Draw
20.2%

Atyrau
9.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.5%

24.3%

12.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.1%

23.3%

11.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kairat has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Kairat's performance.

Atyrau has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kairat than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atyrau than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	14.3%	0%

Kairat - Atyrau Predictions

Users Predictions: Kairat will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Anarbekov T. (G) 24. Mrynskiy A. 14. Martynovich A. (C) 44. Lucas Africo 3. Mata L. 18. Glazer D. 13. Oksanen J. 10. Satpaev D. 7. Jorginho 19. Jukkola O. 9. Edmilson	1. Khatkevich E. (G) 2. Tkachenko Y. 78. Khvalko E. 5. Satanov S. 10. Dzhumatov R. (C) 55. Noyok O. 4. Rabiu M. 17. Kalmuratov K. 7. Henrique 14. Dorofeev K. 90. Yusov D.
Substitutes
23. Bagdat R. 8. Baybek O. 81. Bekbolat I. 30. Buch D. (G) 28. Gual M. 82. Kalmurza S. (G) 4. Kasabulat D. 5. Kurgin L. 6. Sadybekov A. 25. Shirobokov A. 11. Zeballos S.	9. Abdulla A. 27. Berdesh N. 99. Kereev B. 21. Orynbasar D. 77. Pangerey M. 12. Sagat N. (G) 11. Seytkaliev A. 35. Tokhtarov N. (G) 18. Trufanov Y. 25. Zhumagali S.
Coaches
Urazbakhtin R.	Cheburin V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
13', 1 - 0, Oksanen J. ⚽, Jorginho (A),
27', Noyok O. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
61', Glazer D. ↓, Kasabulat D. ↑,
61', Satpaev D. ↓, Zeballos S. ↑,
67', Yusov D. ↓, Trufanov Y. ↑,
67', Henrique ↓, Abdulla A. ↑,
69', 1 - 1, Abdulla A. ⚽,
73', Edmilson ↓, Gual M. ↑,
83', Jukkola O. ↓, Bagdat R. ↑,
86', Dorofeev K. ↓, Berdesh N. ↑,
89', 🟨,
90+3', Kalmuratov K. 🟨,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 10).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kairat won 4.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Recently, Kairat has had a series of away games.

In this match, Kairat is the obvious favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Kairat won 12 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 38:21. (average 1.9:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Kairat won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 24:9. (average 2.4:0.9).

Outrights of Kazakh Premier League for now

Kairat Almaty: 29.59%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Kairat Almaty	26	17	6	3	51:20	31	57
15	Atyrau	25	4	11	10	18:28	-10	23

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kairat Almaty
Kazakh Premier League
28.05.26	Ordabasy - Kairat	2:1 ✺
23.05.26	Kairat - Kaisar	0:0 ✺
17.05.26	Zhenis - Kairat	1:2 ✺
10.05.26	Ulytau - Kairat	1:1 ✺
06.05.26	Kaisar - Kairat	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LTWTW
- FC Atyrau
Kazakh Premier League
28.05.26	Atyrau - Tobol Kostanay	1:1 ✺
23.05.26	Zhetysu - Atyrau	0:0 ✺
17.05.26	Aktobe - Atyrau	1:1 ✺
09.05.26	Okzhetpes - Atyrau	0:0 ✺
03.05.26	Atyrau - Altai Semey	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 TTTTW

Latest Head to Head

Kazakh Premier League
16.04.25	Kairat - Atyrau	4:0
06.04.25	Atyrau - Kairat	1:4
10.11.24	Atyrau - Kairat	0:1
Kazakh Cup
08.05.24	Atyrau - Kairat	3:1
Kazakh Premier League
04.05.24	Kairat - Atyrau	1:0
29.10.23	Atyrau - Kairat	0:0
Kazakh Cup
07.06.23	Atyrau - Kairat	2:1

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