Match Info

Premier League - Round 15

Date: 27 June 2026, Saturday

Location: Zhestar Stadium (Aktau)

Referee: Abdullaev B. (Kaz)

Where to Watch on TV:


Kazakhstan	Sport+


	Kaspiy Aktau		Atyrau

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.85	2.90	2.35
	3	2.92	2.42	Watch
	3.06	3	2.48
	3.01	2.89	2.45	Watch
	2.95	2.85	2.35
	2.99	3.1	2.43	Watch
	3	2.85	2.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.98 ↑ (2.9)	2.93 ↓ (3.18)	2.41 ↑ (2.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kaspiy Aktau
30.7%

Draw
31.3%

Atyrau
38%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.7%

28.9%

39.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.5%

28.8%

39.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kaspiy Aktau has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Atyrau has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kaspiy Aktau than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atyrau than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	50%	0%

Kaspiy Aktau - Atyrau Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Kaspiy will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
24. Zhomart D. (G) 21. Aripov D. 14. Amaral A. 30. Morgado B. 19. Taykenov M. 13. Serikbay M. 23. Nabikhanov A. (C) 26. Sedko P. 17. Klimovich V. 11. Ndombasi N. 9. Abylaykhan R.	1. Khatkevich E. (G) 2. Tkachenko Y. 78. Khvalko E. 5. Satanov S. 10. Dzhumatov R. (C) 4. Rabiu M. 55. Noyok O. 17. Kalmuratov K. 14. Dorofeev K. 9. Abdulla A. 7. Henrique
Substitutes
49. Andrin Y. (G) 1. Ayazbaev N. (G) 16. Baydavletov A. 29. Bekmyrza A. 67. Berdibek D. 55. Elemes N. 15. Epton D. 27. Esimbekov D. 7. Kabylan B. 93. Sillah K.	27. Berdesh N. 99. Kereev B. 44. Maksimovic D. 21. Orynbasar D. 77. Pangerey M. 12. Sagat N. (G) 11. Seytkaliev A. 35. Tokhtarov N. (G) 18. Trufanov Y. 90. Yusov D. 25. Zhumagali S.
Coaches
Shoytymov E.	Cheburin V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
8', 1 - 0, Sedko P. ⚽,
16', 2 - 0, Serikbay M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Abdulla A. ↓, Maksimovic D. ↑,
62', Noyok O. ↓, Seytkaliev A. ↑,
62', Henrique ↓, Trufanov Y. ↑,
68', Rabiu M. 🟨,
74', Abylaykhan R. ↓, Sillah K. ↑,
74', Dorofeev K. ↓, Yusov D. ↑,
77', Taykenov M. ↓, Bekmyrza A. ↑,
83', Ndombasi N. ↓, Epton D. ↑,
83', Sedko P. ↓, Esimbekov D. ↑,
84', Serikbay M. ↓, Baydavletov A. ↑,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ First League and 8).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kaspiy won 2.

Kaspiy is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Atyrau has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Recently, Atyrau has had a series of away games.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Kaspiy won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:9. (average 1.3:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Kaspiy won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:3. (average 1.7:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Kaspij Aktau	26	8	5	13	27:36	-9	29
15	Atyrau	25	4	11	10	18:28	-10	23

Last Results with these Odds

Atyrau - the odds 2.34 are the expected chance of winning is 39.33%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Kaspiy Aktau
Kazakh Premier League
20.06.26	Ordabasy - Kaspiy Aktau	2:0 ✺
14.06.26	Kaspiy Aktau - Kaisar	1:2 ✺
28.05.26	Zhenis - Kaspiy Aktau	1:0 ✺
22.05.26	Kaspiy Aktau - Ertis Pavlodar	2:2 ✺
16.05.26	Ulytau - Kaspiy Aktau	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LLLTL
- FC Atyrau
Kazakh Premier League
21.06.26	Yelimay Semey - Atyrau	1:2 ✺
13.06.26	Kairat - Atyrau	1:1 ✺
28.05.26	Atyrau - Tobol Kostanay	1:1 ✺
23.05.26	Zhetysu - Atyrau	0:0 ✺
17.05.26	Aktobe - Atyrau	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.7 WTTTT

Latest Head to Head

Kazakh Premier League
12.08.23	Atyrau - Kaspiy Aktau	1:0
07.05.23	Kaspiy Aktau - Atyrau	1:1
04.09.22	Atyrau - Kaspiy Aktau	3:2
16.04.22	Kaspiy Aktau - Atyrau	2:1
18.09.21	Kaspiy Aktau - Atyrau	2:1
02.05.21	Atyrau - Kaspiy Aktau	2:1

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