Match Info

Premier League - Round 17

Date: 21 June 2026, Sunday

Location: Stadion Spartak (Semey)

Referee: Kuchma A. (Kaz)


	Yelimay Semey		Atyrau

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.83	3.2	3.8
	1.47	3.35	6.40	Watch
	1.52	3.78	6.45
	1.49	3.73	6.73	Watch
	1.91	3	3.8
	1.53	3.80	6.73	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↓ (1.77)	3.48 ↓ (3.6)	5.65 ↑ (4.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Yelimay Semey
57%

Draw
26.6%

Atyrau
16.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.5%

25.7%

21.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.5%

25.2%

21.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Yelimay Semey has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

Atyrau has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Atyrau might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yelimay Semey than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atyrau than the current prediction. (+5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Yelimay Semey - Atyrau Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Yelimay will win (votes: 4 - 80%). Atyrau will win (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Pivkin N. (G) 3. Higor Gabriel 4. Zhumakhanov A. 5. Belancic M. 20. Ashirbek A. 23. Ilic H. 27. Berezkin E. 18. Orazov R. 14. Palacio D. 77. Placca F. 7. Murtazaev R.	1. Khatkevich E. (G) 2. Tkachenko Y. 78. Khvalko E. 5. Satanov S. 10. Dzhumatov R. 9. Abdulla A. 4. Rabiu M. 17. Kalmuratov K. 7. Henrique 14. Dorofeev K. 90. Yusov D.
Substitutes
2. Adambaev A. 17. Bakhtiyarov A. 88. Baygaliev A. 50. Miladinovic I. 11. Sviridov I. 1. Tsuprikov E. (G) 44. Tyulyubay A. 19. Zhaksylykov A. 67. Zhilin A.	27. Berdesh N. 99. Kereev B. 44. Maksimovic D. 21. Orynbasar D. 77. Pangerey M. 12. Sagat N. (G) 11. Seytkaliev A. 35. Tokhtarov N. (G) 18. Trufanov Y. 25. Zhumagali S.
Coaches
Karpovich A.	Cheburin V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
18', 0 - 1, Henrique ⚽,
22', Dzhumatov R. 🟨,
22', 1 - 1, Murtazaev R. (Penalty Awarded),
40', 1 - 2, Tkachenko Y. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
51', Henrique 🟨,
62', Khvalko E. 🟨,
66', Yusov D. ↓, Trufanov Y. ↑,
66', Abdulla A. ↓, Seytkaliev A. ↑,
72', Higor Gabriel ↓, Tyulyubay A. ↑,
79', Placca F. 🟨,
85', Belancic M. ↓, Adambaev A. ↑,
87', Henrique ↓, Maksimovic D. ↑,
89', Trufanov Y. 🟨,
90+7', Orazov R. 🟨,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 6 and 9).

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Yelimay may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Atyrau has had a series of away games.

In this match, Yelimay is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Yelimay won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:5. (average 1:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Yelimay won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Yelimay Semey	25	10	8	7	35:33	2	38
15	Atyrau	25	4	11	10	18:28	-10	23

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Yelimay Semey
Kazakh Premier League
14.06.26	Yelimay Semey - Ordabasy	1:3 ✺
28.05.26	Kaisar - Yelimay Semey	2:3 ✺
23.05.26	Yelimay Semey - Zhenis	2:1 ✺
16.05.26	Ertis Pavlodar - Yelimay Semey	2:2 ✺
09.05.26	Yelimay Semey - Kaspiy Aktau	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LWWTL
- FC Atyrau
Kazakh Premier League
13.06.26	Kairat - Atyrau	1:1 ✺
28.05.26	Atyrau - Tobol Kostanay	1:1 ✺
23.05.26	Zhetysu - Atyrau	0:0 ✺
17.05.26	Aktobe - Atyrau	1:1 ✺
09.05.26	Okzhetpes - Atyrau	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.6 TTTTT

Latest Head to Head

Kazakh Premier League
26.10.25	Yelimay Semey - Atyrau	3:2
01.03.25	Atyrau - Yelimay Semey	2:1
26.10.24	Atyrau - Yelimay Semey	1:0
02.03.24	Yelimay Semey - Atyrau	0:0

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