Match Info

Date: 17 October 2021, Sunday


	Augsburg		Arminia Bielefeld

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.2	3.8	Watch
	2.35	3.1	3.25	Watch
	2.15	3.15	3.65
	2.1	3.2	3.7
	2.16	3.32	3.88
	2.1	3.2	3.75
	2.15	3.32	3.86
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.15 ↓ (2.27)	3.21 ↓ (3.23)	3.7 ↑ (3.29)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Augsburg
44.4%

Draw
29.7%

Arminia Bielefeld
25.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.8%

29.4%

28.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.3%

21.8%

21.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Augsburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Arminia Bielefeld has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Augsburg than the current prediction. (+11.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Augsburg, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arminia Bielefeld than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60.3%	27%	12.7%

Augsburg - Arminia Bielefeld Predictions

Users Predictions: 63 users predict this event. Augsburg will win (votes: 38 - 60.3%). Arminia will win (votes: 8 - 12.7%). It will Tie (votes: 17 - 27%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Augsburg: 48.2% – 72.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Augsburg has the most likely position - 17 (17.43%), has project points - 32, has currently - 5, has a chance of relegated (37%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Arminia has the most likely position - 17 (22.42%), has project points - 29, has currently - 4, has a chance of relegated (47%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

The competitors look crappy now.

Augsburg could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Augsburg will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Augsburg won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Including matches at home between the teams Augsburg won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Augsburg
German Bundesliga
02.10.21	Borussia Dortmund - Augsburg	2:1 ✺
26.09.21	Freiburg - Augsburg	3:0 ✺
18.09.21	Augsburg - Borussia Mönchengladbach	1:0 ✺
11.09.21	Union Berlin - Augsburg	0:0 ✺
28.08.21	Augsburg - Bayer Leverkusen	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 LLWTL
- Arminia Bielefeld
German Bundesliga
03.10.21	Arminia Bielefeld - Bayer Leverkusen	0:4 ✺
25.09.21	Union Berlin - Arminia Bielefeld	1:0 ✺
18.09.21	Arminia Bielefeld - Hoffenheim	0:0 ✺
12.09.21	Borussia Mönchengladbach - Arminia Bielefeld	3:1 ✺
28.08.21	Arminia Bielefeld - Eintracht Frankfurt	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 LLTLT

Latest Head to Head

German Bundesliga
17.04.21	Augsburg - Arminia Bielefeld	0:0
16.12.20	Arminia Bielefeld - Augsburg	0:1

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