Match Info

Bundesliga - Round 26

Date: 14 March 2026, Saturday

Location: Signal Iduna Park (Dortmund)

Referee: Dankert B. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


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World	Onefootball


	Borussia Dortmund		Augsburg

	1	X	2
	1.5	4.75	5.5	Watch
	1.43	4.8	6.75
	1.52	4.45	5.9
	1.55	4.8	5.77
	1.5	4.89	6.21	Watch
	1.44	4.4	5.75	Watch
	1.55	4.76	6.29	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 ↑ (1.41)	4.69 ↓ (5.09)	6.02 ↓ (6.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 1.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Borussia Dortmund
63.8%

Draw
20.4%

Augsburg
15.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.5%

18.7%

13.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

75.7%

21%

12.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Borussia Dortmund has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

Augsburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Borussia Dortmund than the current prediction. (+11.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Borussia Dortmund, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Augsburg than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
91.3%	4.3%	4.3%

Borussia Dortmund - Augsburg Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 6 - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

AH -1.25 - Borussia D (2.03) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.5 - Augsburg (5.39) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Borussia Dortmund will win (42 of 46 users predict this - 91.3%).
Confidence interval (95%): 83.16% – 99.44%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Borussia Dortmund will win (12 of 12 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 14 Selected Experts predict this event. Borussia D (votes: 13 - 92.9%). Augsburg (votes: 1 - 7.1%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kobel G. (G) 49. Reggiani L. 3. Anton W. 4. Schlotterbeck N. (C) 26. Ryerson J. 7. Bellingham J. 8. Nmecha F. 24. Svensson D. 20. Sabitzer M. 27. Adeyemi K. 14. Beier M.	1. Dahmen F. (G) 34. Arthur Chaves 31. Schlotterbeck K. (C) 16. Zesiger C. 19. Fellhauer R. 17. Jakic K. 4. Massengo H. 13. Giannoulis D. 32. Rieder F. 20. Claude-Maurice A. 21. Ribeiro R.
Substitutes
10. Brandt J. 17. Chukwuemeka C. 2. Couto Y. 9. Guirassy S. 40. Inacio S. 33. Meyer A. (G) 6. Ozcan S. 21. Silva F. 25. Sule N.	40. Banks N. 38. Gregoritsch M. 30. Kade A. 25. Klein D. (G) 36. Komur M. 22. Labrovic N. (G) 3. Pedersen M. 8. Rexhbecaj E. 27. Wolf M.
Coaches
Kovac N.	Baum M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
13', 1 - 0, Adeyemi K. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
59', 2 - 0, Reggiani L. ⚽, Ryerson J. (A),
60', Claude-Maurice A. ↓, Kade A. ↑,
60', Massengo H. ↓, Rexhbecaj E. ↑,
68', Giannoulis D. ↓, Gregoritsch M. ↑,
74', Svensson D. ↓, Silva F. ↑,
80', Ribeiro R. ↓, Komur M. ↑,
80', Jakic K. ↓, Wolf M. ↑,
85', Beier M. ↓, Couto Y. ↑,
86', Nmecha F. ↓, Brandt J. ↑,
86', Sabitzer M. ↓, Chukwuemeka C. ↑,
90', Adeyemi K. ↓, Guirassy S. ↑,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 9).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Borussia D won 2.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Augsburg may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Borussia D is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Borussia D won 11 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 44:27. (average 2.2:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Borussia D won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 25:13. (average 2.8:1.4).

Outrights of German Bundesliga for now

Dortmund: 9.23% Augsburg: 0.26%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Dortmund	4	4	0	0	9:2	7	12
4	Augsburg	4	2	1	1	11:6	5	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Borussia Dortmund
German Bundesliga
07.03.26	Köln - Borussia Dortmund	1:2 ✺
28.02.26	Borussia Dortmund - Bayern Munich	2:3 ✺
UEFA Champions League
25.02.26	Atalanta - Borussia Dortmund	4:1 ✺
German Bundesliga
21.02.26	RB Leipzig - Borussia Dortmund	2:2 ✺
UEFA Champions League
17.02.26	Borussia Dortmund - Atalanta	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WLLTW
- FC Augsburg
German Bundesliga
07.03.26	RB Leipzig - Augsburg	2:1 ✺
27.02.26	Augsburg - Köln	2:0 ✺
21.02.26	Wolfsburg - Augsburg	2:3 ✺
15.02.26	Augsburg - Heidenheim	1:0 ✺
07.02.26	Mainz - Augsburg	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

German Bundesliga
31.10.25	Augsburg - Borussia Dortmund	0:1
08.03.25	Borussia Dortmund - Augsburg	0:1
26.10.24	Augsburg - Borussia Dortmund	2:1
04.05.24	Borussia Dortmund - Augsburg	5:1
16.12.23	Augsburg - Borussia Dortmund	1:1
21.05.23	Augsburg - Borussia Dortmund	0:3
22.01.23	Borussia Dortmund - Augsburg	4:3

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