Match Info

Bundesliga - Round 26

Date: 14 March 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Signal Iduna Park (Dortmund) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Dankert B. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Arena
Albania	15:30	Tring Sport 3
Argentina	11:30	Disney+
Australia	01:30	beIN Connect
Austria	15:30	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2
Belgium	15:30	Play Sports 2
Brazil	11:30	Canal GOAT
Bulgaria	16:30	Nova Sport, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	10:30	DAZN Canada, OneSoccer
Croatia	15:30	SportKlub 5
Czech Republic	15:30	Nova Sport 5, Oneplay
Denmark	15:30	Viaplay
Finland	16:30	Veikkaus TV, Viaplay
France	15:30	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 5, Free
Germany	15:30	DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, WOW
Greece	16:30	Nova Sports 2
Hong Kong	22:30	beIN Sports 2, beIN SPORTS MAX, M Plus Live
Iceland	14:30	Viaplay
India	20:00	Sony LIV
Israel	16:30	Sport 2
Japan	23:30	DAZN Japan
Laos	21:30	beIN Connect
Malaysia	22:30	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Mexico	08:30	Izzi TV, Sky Sport
Mongolia	22:30	Premier Sports 4
Netherlands	15:30	Viaplay
New Zealand	03:30	beIN Connect
North Central America	—	Sky Sports Norte
North Macedonia	15:30	MaxTV GO
Norway	15:30	TV2 Play, Viaplay
Pakistan	19:30	Tapmad
Peru	09:30	Disney+
Philippines	22:30	beIN SPORTS MAX
Poland	15:30	Eleven Sports 3
Portugal	14:30	DAZN / App
Romania	16:30	Digi Online, Digi Sport 3
Russia	17:30	Okko Sport
Saudi Arabia	17:30	MBC Shahid
Serbia	15:30	Arena Sport 3
Singapore	22:30	beIN SPORTS MAX
Slovakia	15:30	Nova Sport 5, Voyo
Slovenia	15:30	Sport TV3
South Korea	23:30	Coupang Play
Spain	15:30	DAZN Espana
Sweden	15:30	Viaplay
Switzerland	15:30	Sky Sport Bundesliga 2
Thailand	21:30	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX, True Premier Football 4
Turkey	17:30	S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 3
Ukraine	16:30	Kyivstar TV, Setanta Sports Premium
Uruguay	11:30	Disney+
Usa	10:30	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	10:30	Disney+
Vietnam	21:30	TV 360
International	14:30	Onefootball


	Borussia Dortmund		Augsburg

	1	X	2
	1.5	4.75	5.5	Watch
	1.43	4.8	6.75
	1.52	4.45	5.9
	1.55	4.8	5.77
	1.5	4.89	6.21	Watch
	1.44	4.4	5.75	Watch
	1.55	4.76	6.29	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 ↑ (1.41)	4.69 ↓ (5.09)	6.02 ↓ (6.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 1.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Borussia Dortmund
63.8%

Draw
20.4%

Augsburg
15.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

67.5%

18.7%

13.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.7%

19%

12.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Borussia Dortmund has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

Augsburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Borussia Dortmund than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Augsburg than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
91.3%	4.3%	4.3%

Borussia Dortmund - Augsburg Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 6 - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

AH -1.25 - Borussia D (2.03) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.5 - Augsburg (5.39) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Borussia Dortmund will win (42 of 46 users predict this - 91.3%).
Confidence interval (95%): 83.16% – 99.44%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Borussia Dortmund will win (12 of 12 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 14 Selected Experts predict this event. Borussia D (votes: 13 - 92.9%). Augsburg (votes: 1 - 7.1%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kobel G. (G) 49. Reggiani L. 3. Anton W. 4. Schlotterbeck N. (C) 26. Ryerson J. 7. Bellingham J. 8. Nmecha F. 24. Svensson D. 20. Sabitzer M. 27. Adeyemi K. 14. Beier M.	1. Dahmen F. (G) 34. Arthur Chaves 31. Schlotterbeck K. (C) 16. Zesiger C. 19. Fellhauer R. 17. Jakic K. 4. Massengo H. 13. Giannoulis D. 32. Rieder F. 20. Claude-Maurice A. 21. Ribeiro R.
Substitutes
10. Brandt J. 17. Chukwuemeka C. 2. Couto Y. 9. Guirassy S. 40. Inacio S. 33. Meyer A. (G) 6. Ozcan S. 21. Silva F. 25. Sule N.	40. Banks N. 38. Gregoritsch M. 30. Kade A. 25. Klein D. (G) 36. Komur M. 22. Labrovic N. (G) 3. Pedersen M. 8. Rexhbecaj E. 27. Wolf M.
Coaches
Kovac N.	Baum M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
13', 1 - 0, Adeyemi K. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
59', 2 - 0, Reggiani L. ⚽, Ryerson J. (A),
60', Claude-Maurice A. ↓, Kade A. ↑,
60', Massengo H. ↓, Rexhbecaj E. ↑,
68', Giannoulis D. ↓, Gregoritsch M. ↑,
74', Svensson D. ↓, Silva F. ↑,
80', Ribeiro R. ↓, Komur M. ↑,
80', Jakic K. ↓, Wolf M. ↑,
85', Beier M. ↓, Couto Y. ↑,
86', Nmecha F. ↓, Brandt J. ↑,
86', Sabitzer M. ↓, Chukwuemeka C. ↑,
90', Adeyemi K. ↓, Guirassy S. ↑,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 9).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Borussia D won 2.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Augsburg may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Borussia D is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Borussia D won 11 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 44:27. (average 2.2:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Borussia D won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 25:13. (average 2.8:1.4).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Dortmund	7	5	2	0	12:4	8	17
9	Augsburg	7	2	3	2	17:13	4	9

Outrights of German Bundesliga for now

Dortmund: 7.11% Augsburg: 0.29%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Borussia Dortmund
German Bundesliga
07.03.26	Köln - Borussia Dortmund	1:2 ✺
28.02.26	Borussia Dortmund - Bayern Munich	2:3 ✺
UEFA Champions League
25.02.26	Atalanta - Borussia Dortmund	4:1 ✺
German Bundesliga
21.02.26	RB Leipzig - Borussia Dortmund	2:2 ✺
UEFA Champions League
17.02.26	Borussia Dortmund - Atalanta	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WLLTW
- FC Augsburg
German Bundesliga
07.03.26	RB Leipzig - Augsburg	2:1 ✺
27.02.26	Augsburg - Köln	2:0 ✺
21.02.26	Wolfsburg - Augsburg	2:3 ✺
15.02.26	Augsburg - Heidenheim	1:0 ✺
07.02.26	Mainz - Augsburg	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

German Bundesliga
31.10.25	Augsburg - Borussia Dortmund	0:1
08.03.25	Borussia Dortmund - Augsburg	0:1
26.10.24	Augsburg - Borussia Dortmund	2:1
04.05.24	Borussia Dortmund - Augsburg	5:1
16.12.23	Augsburg - Borussia Dortmund	1:1
21.05.23	Augsburg - Borussia Dortmund	0:3
22.01.23	Borussia Dortmund - Augsburg	4:3

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