Match Info

Bundesliga - Round 34

Date: 16 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Stadion An der Alten Försterei (Berlin)

Referee: Ittrich P. (Ger)

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	Union Berlin		Augsburg

	1	X	2
	2.55	4	2.45	Watch
	2.62	3.95	2.42	Watch
	2.68	4.1	2.5
	2.78	4.03	2.28	Watch
	2.5	3.75	2.3	Watch
	2.73	4.12	2.46	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.64 ↑ (2.48)	3.99 ↓ (4.05)	2.4 ↓ (2.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Union Berlin
36.2%

Draw
24%

Augsburg
39.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.3%

23.4%

38.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.1%

23.9%

37.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Union Berlin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Augsburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Union Berlin than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Augsburg than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
8%	28%	64%

Union Berlin - Augsburg Predictions

Users Predictions: 24 users predict this event. Union Berlin will win (votes: 2 - 8.3%). Augsburg will win (votes: 15 - 62.5%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 29.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Augsburg: 43.1% – 81.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Augsburg (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Klaus C. (G) 28. Trimmel C. (C) 5. Doekhi D. 4. Leite D. 15. Rothe T. 13. Schafer A. 6. Kemlein A. 7. Burke O. 10. Ansah I. 9. Burcu L. 23. Ilic A.	1. Dahmen F. (G) 5. Matsima C. 6. Gouweleeuw J. (C) 16. Zesiger C. 27. Wolf M. 14. Keitel Y. 32. Rieder F. 19. Fellhauer R. 30. Kade A. 36. Komur M. 38. Gregoritsch M.
Substitutes
30. Bogdanov D. 19. Haberer J. 11. Jeong Woo-Yeong 18. Juranovic J. 33. Kral A. 14. Querfeld L. 21. Skarke T. 24. Skov R. 48. Wisbereit T. (G)	40. Banks N. 25. Klein D. (G) 22. Labrovic N. (G) 4. Massengo H. 39. Ogundu U. 3. Pedersen M. 21. Ribeiro R. 31. Schlotterbeck K.
Coaches
Eta M.	Baum M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
10', 1 - 0, Ilic A. ⚽, Schafer A. (A),
24', Burke O. 🟨,
26', Trimmel C. 🟨,
42', 2 - 0, Ilic A. ⚽, Burke O. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
54', 3 - 0, Schafer A. ⚽, Burcu L. (A),
55', Keitel Y. ↓, Massengo H. ↑,
55', Komur M. ↓, Ribeiro R. ↑,
61', Matsima C. ↓, Banks N. ↑,
61', Wolf M. ↓, Pedersen M. ↑,
63', Massengo H. 🟨,
64', Trimmel C. ↓, Juranovic J. ↑,
65', Ansah I. ↓, Jeong Woo-Yeong ↑,
70', Kemlein A. 🟨,
71', Burcu L. ↓, Skarke T. ↑,
77', Gregoritsch M. ↓, Ogundu U. ↑,
86', Burke O. ↓, Bogdanov D. ↑,
86', Ilic A. ↓, Querfeld L. ↑,
89', 4 - 0, Jeong Woo-Yeong ⚽,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 12 and 9).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Union Berlin won 1.

Recent form of Union Berlin has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Augsburg is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

There will not play in Union Berlin: Kohn D. (Yellow Cards) Preu D. (Injury) Raab M. (Hand Injury) Ronnow F. (Muscle Injury) Skov R. (Muscle Injury)

There will not play in Augsburg: Arthur Chaves (Knee Injury) Giannoulis D. (Muscle Injury) Jakic K. (Yellow Cards)

There are questionable in Augsburg: Claude-Maurice A. (Ankle Injury) Rexhbecaj E. (Illness)

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Union Berlin won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 12:18. (average 0.9:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Union Berlin won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:8. (average 1:1.3).

Outrights of German Bundesliga for now

Augsburg: 0.45% Union Berlin: 0.32%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Augsburg	5	2	2	1	13:8	5	8
16	Union Berlin	5	1	1	3	5:17	-12	4

Last Results with these Odds

Union Berlin - the odds 2.48 are the expected chance of winning is 38.28%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Union Berlin
German Bundesliga
10.05.26	Mainz - Union Berlin	1:3 ✺
02.05.26	Union Berlin - Köln	2:2 ✺
24.04.26	RB Leipzig - Union Berlin	3:1 ✺
18.04.26	Union Berlin - Wolfsburg	1:2 ✺
11.04.26	Heidenheim - Union Berlin	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 WTLLL
- FC Augsburg
German Bundesliga
09.05.26	Augsburg - Borussia Mönchengladbach	3:1 ✺
02.05.26	Werder Bremen - Augsburg	1:3 ✺
25.04.26	Augsburg - Eintracht Frankfurt	1:1 ✺
18.04.26	Bayer Leverkusen - Augsburg	1:2 ✺
10.04.26	Augsburg - Hoffenheim	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 28.1 WWTWT

Latest Head to Head

German Bundesliga
15.01.26	Augsburg - Union Berlin	1:1
17.05.25	Augsburg - Union Berlin	1:2
15.01.25	Union Berlin - Augsburg	0:2
12.04.24	Augsburg - Union Berlin	2:0
25.11.23	Union Berlin - Augsburg	1:1
06.05.23	Augsburg - Union Berlin	1:0
Club Friendly
07.01.23	Augsburg - Union Berlin	0:1

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