Match Info

USA: MLS

Date: 20 July 2024, Saturday

Location: Q2 Stadium (Austin, TX)

Referee: Freemon J. (Usa)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	MLS Season Pass


	Austin FC		Charlotte

	1	X	2
	2.5	3.5	2.7	Watch
	2.5	3.3	2.7
	2.6	3.4	2.8	Watch
	2.58	3.5	2.81
	2.53	3.41	2.77	Watch
	2.5	3.5	2.6
	2.51	3.54	2.68	Watch
	2.55	3.45	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.53 ↑ (2.06)	3.45 ↓ (3.5)	2.72 ↓ (3.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Austin FC
37.5%

Draw
27.5%

Charlotte
34.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.6%

26.8%

27.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.9%

26.6%

27.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Austin FC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Austin FC's form might have worsened.

Charlotte has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Charlotte's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Austin FC than the current prediction. (+8.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Austin FC, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Charlotte than the current prediction. (-7.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Charlotte, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	16.7%	50%

Austin FC - Charlotte Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Austin will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Charlotte will win (votes: 3 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Stuver B. (G) 7. Bukari O. 29. Guilherme Biro 2. Hedges M. 4. Hines-Ike B. 16. Jimenez H. 11. Obrian J. 6. Pereira D. 8. Ring A. (C) 5. Valencia J. 9. Zardes G.	1. Kahlina K. (G) 13. Bronico B. 14. Byrne N. 18. Calderon Vargas K. A. 28. Diani D. 29. Malanda A. 34. Privett A. 9. Swiderski K. 38. Tavares I. 21. Uronen J. 8. Westwood A. (C)
Substitutes
30. Cleveland S. (G) 3. Desler M. 13. Finlay E. 19. Fodrey C. 17. Gallagher J. 23. Kolmanic Z. 14. Rubio D. 15. Vaisanen L. 33. Wolff O.	33. Agyemang P. 15. Bender B. 22. Bingham D. (G) 10. Dejaegere B. 20. Joao Pedro 24. Lindsey J. 23. Petkovic N. 25. Smalls T. 6. Tuiloma B.
Coaches
Wolff J.	Smith D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
11', 1 - 0, Ring A. ⚽, Pereira D. (A), Obrian J. (A2)
33', 1 - 1, Swiderski K. (Pen),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
56', 1 - 2, Tavares I. ⚽,
58', Bukari O. ↓, Wolff O. ↑,
58', Jimenez H. ↓, Gallagher J. ↑,
58', Guilherme Biro ↓, Desler M. ↑,
59', Privett A. 🟨,
65', Swiderski K. ↓, Agyemang P. ↑,
66', Zardes G. ↓, Rubio D. ↑,
71', Tavares I. ↓, Smalls T. ↑,
71', Calderon Vargas K. A. ↓, Dejaegere B. ↑,
74', Valencia J. ↓, Kolmanic Z. ↑,
75', Rubio D. 🟨,
80', 2 - 2, Gallagher J. ⚽, Rubio D. (A), Ring A. (A2)
82', Bronico B. ↓, Bender B. ↑,
86', Pereira D. 🟨,
87', Desler M. 🟨,

Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 10 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Charlotte could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Charlotte have a series of guest games.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

There will not play in Austin: Driussi S. (Red Card)

There will not play in Charlotte: Byrne N. (Yellow Cards) Junior Urso (Injury)

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Austin FC
MLS
17.07.24	FC Dallas - Austin FC	3:1 ✺
13.07.24	Austin FC - Seattle Sounders	0:1 ✺
06.07.24	Austin FC - New York City	2:1 ✺
29.06.24	Sporting Kansas City - Austin FC	2:0 ✺
22.06.24	Minnesota United - Austin FC	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 LLWLW
- Charlotte FC
MLS
17.07.24	Columbus Crew - Charlotte	1:1 ✺
13.07.24	Cincinnati - Charlotte	1:3 ✺
03.07.24	Charlotte - Inter Miami	1:2 ✺
29.06.24	Houston Dynamo - Charlotte	1:0 ✺
22.06.24	Philadelphia Union - Charlotte	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.5 TWLLW

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