Match Info

FRANCE: Ligue 2 - Round 38

Date: 17 May 2024, Friday

Location: Stade de l'Abbé-Deschamps (Auxerre)

Referee: Rainville N. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


France	Amazon Prime Video


	Auxerre		Concarneau

	1	X	2
	1.33	5.5	6.25	Watch
	1.34	5.5	7
	1.33	5.5	7.5	Watch
	1.36	5.7	7.53
	1.33	5.7	7.53
	1.29	5.5	8
	1.34	5.7	7.7	Watch
	1.34	5.6	7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.33 ↓ (1.39)	5.59 ↑ (5.04)	7.31 ↑ (7.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Auxerre
70.4%

Draw
16.8%

Concarneau
12.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68%

18.7%

13.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.7%

18%

12.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Auxerre has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Concarneau has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Auxerre than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

The ML Model estimate for Concarneau aligns with the current prediction.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
93.3%	0%	6.7%

Auxerre - Concarneau Predictions

Users Predictions: Auxerre will win (13 of 14 users predict this - 92.86%).
Confidence interval (95%): 79.37% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
40. De Percin T. (G) 26. Joly P. 5. Pellenard T. 6. Agouzoul S. 14. Mensah G. 97. Raveloson R. 42. Owusu E. (C) 17. Sinayoko L. 7. Hein G. 10. Perrin G. 45. Onaiwu A.	30. Salles E. (G) 2. Georgen A. 28. Paro I. 4. Janez G. (C) 17. Etuin M. 11. Urie A. 26. Sinquin T. 6. Phliponeau A. 7. Matondo I. 14. Ba P. I. 13. Moussiti-Oko B.
Substitutes
13. Akpa C. 2. Dagba C. 35. Danois K. 18. Diousse A. 4. Jubal 16. Leon D. (G) 75. Soumare I.	19. Diawara K. 33. Faussurier J. 29. Jouan P. 20. Mouazan B. 1. Pattier M. (G) 22. Rodrigues C. 5. Sylla M.
Coaches
Pelissier C.	Le Mignan S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
21', 0 - 1, Moussiti-Oko B. ⚽, Georgen A. (A),
40', 1 - 1, Onaiwu A. ⚽, Joly P. (A),
2nd Half (3 - 0)
61', Matondo I. ↓, Mouazan B. ↑,
63', 2 - 1, Onaiwu A. ⚽,
73', Sinayoko L. ↓, Diousse A. ↑,
73', Raveloson R. ↓, Danois K. ↑,
76', Moussiti-Oko B. ↓, Rodrigues C. ↑,
76', Urie A. ↓, Diawara K. ↑,
81', 3 - 1, Onaiwu A. ⚽, Joly P. (A),
82', Perrin G. ↓, Soumare I. ↑,
82', Mensah G. ↓, Akpa C. ↑,
84', Sinquin T. ↓, Jouan P. ↑,
84', Georgen A. ↓, Faussurier J. ↑,
85', 4 - 1, Hein G. ⚽,
86', Onaiwu A. ↓, Jubal ↑,

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ National).

Auxerre is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Ligue 1

Concarneau is Relegated to National

Auxerre is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Concarneau is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Auxerre is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Auxerre won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AJ Auxerre
French Ligue 2
10.05.24	Amiens - Auxerre	0:0 ✺
04.05.24	Auxerre - Paris FC	2:0 ✺
29.04.24	Dunkerque - Auxerre	1:3 ✺
23.04.24	Auxerre - Laval	4:0 ✺
20.04.24	Rodez - Auxerre	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 TWWWL
- US Concarneau
French Ligue 2
10.05.24	Concarneau - Bordeaux	4:2 ✺
03.05.24	Grenoble - Concarneau	2:1 ✺
27.04.24	Concarneau - Rodez	1:2 ✺
23.04.24	Bastia - Concarneau	2:0 ✺
20.04.24	Concarneau - Quevilly	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WLLLT

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 2
05.12.23	Concarneau - Auxerre	1:2

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