Match Info

FRANCE: Ligue 2 - Round 34

Date: 23 April 2024, Tuesday

Location: Stade de l'Abbé-Deschamps (Auxerre)

Referee: Lissorgue R. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport
Croatia	Arena Sport
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 2
France	beIN Sports


	Auxerre		Laval

	1	X	2
	1.57	3.8	5.75	Watch
	1.55	4.1	5.5
	1.57	4.2	5	Watch
	1.6	4.01	5.97
	1.59	4.02	5.97
	1.5	4.2	5.8
	1.58	4.2	5.55	Watch
	1.57	4	5.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.57 ↓ (1.62)	4.07 ↑ (3.82)	5.62 ↑ (5.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Auxerre
60.1%

Draw
23.1%

Laval
16.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.3%

24.6%

17.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.1%

23.9%

16.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Auxerre has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Laval has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

The ML Model estimate for Auxerre aligns with the current prediction.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Laval than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
95%	0%	5%

Auxerre - Laval Predictions

Users Predictions: Auxerre will win (19 of 20 users predict this - 95%).
Confidence interval (95%): 85.45% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Leon D. (G) 26. Joly P. 4. Jubal (C) 6. Agouzoul S. 14. Mensah G. 42. Owusu E. 97. Raveloson R. 17. Sinayoko L. 7. Hein G. 10. Perrin G. 19. Aye F.	30. Samassa M. (G) 27. Adeoti J. 12. Balde Y. 31. Lomami I. 7. Vargas T. 4. Roye J. (C) 6. Sanna S. 23. Tavares Y. 9. Kadile J. 28. Bobichon A. 18. Tchokounte M.
Substitutes
13. Akpa C. 2. Dagba C. 35. Danois K. 40. De Percin T. (G) 18. Diousse A. 45. Onaiwu A. 5. Pellenard T.	26. Benard W. 40. Chatelain T. (G) 20. Cherni A. 15. Diaw E. 11. Labeau Lascary R. 29. Pagis P. 8. Thomas T.
Coaches
Pelissier C.	Frapolli O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
4', 1 - 0, Lomami I. (Own goal),
13', 2 - 0, Aye F. ⚽, Raveloson R. (A),
33', 3 - 0, Aye F. ⚽, Perrin G. (A),
45+2', Bobichon A. 🟥,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Lomami I. ↓, Cherni A. ↑,
62', Tchokounte M. ↓, Labeau Lascary R. ↑,
62', Tavares Y. ↓, Diaw E. ↑,
62', Owusu E. ↓, Onaiwu A. ↑,
63', Aye F. ↓, Diousse A. ↑,
67', Jubal 🟨,
72', Adeoti J. ↓, Thomas T. ↑,
82', Roye J. ↓, Benard W. ↑,
86', Joly P. ↓, Danois K. ↑,
87', Raveloson R. ↓, Akpa C. ↑,
87', Jubal ↓, Dagba C. ↑,
90', 4 - 0, Danois K. ⚽,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1 and 7).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Auxerre won 2.

Recent matches Auxerre is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Laval has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Auxerre is a favorite.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Auxerre won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 19-18.

Including matches at home between the teams Auxerre won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AJ Auxerre
French Ligue 2
20.04.24	Rodez - Auxerre	2:0 ✺
13.04.24	Quevilly - Auxerre	4:3 ✺
08.04.24	Auxerre - Troyes	2:0 ✺
01.04.24	Ajaccio - Auxerre	0:1 ✺
16.03.24	Auxerre - Caen	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LLWWW
- Stade Laval
French Ligue 2
20.04.24	Pau - Laval	3:0 ✺
13.04.24	Laval - Annecy	0:3 ✺
06.04.24	Angers - Laval	1:1 ✺
30.03.24	Laval - Bastia	1:2 ✺
16.03.24	Laval - Dunkerque	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LLTLL

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 2
19.12.23	Laval - Auxerre	1:3
10.03.17	Laval - Auxerre	0:0
14.10.16	Auxerre - Laval	2:0
15.01.16	Laval - Auxerre	4:1
14.08.15	Auxerre - Laval	2:3
28.04.15	Auxerre - Laval	1:1
28.11.14	Laval - Auxerre	1:1

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