Match Info

Serie B Superbet - Round 35

Date: 1 November 2025, Saturday

Location: Ressacada (Florianópolis)

Referee: Belence P. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Disney+


	Avaí		Athletic Club

	1	X	2
	1.76	3.3	5	Watch
	1.82	3.3	4.35
	1.81	3.32	4.35	Watch
	1.84	3.32	4.39	Watch
	1.87	3.35	4.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.82 ↑ (1.81)	3.32 (3.32)	4.48 ↑ (4.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Avaí
51.2%

Draw
28.1%

Athletic Club
20.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51%

27.8%

21.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.7%

26.9%

20.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Avaí has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Athletic Club has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Avaí than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Athletic Club than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	25%	0%

Avaí - Athletic Club Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Avaí will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.5 - Athletic (4.33) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

1X2, 2nd Half - Avaí (2.20) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Avaí will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Avaí (votes: 4 - 80%). Athletic (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Cesar Augusto (G) 2. Railan 95. Jonathan Costa 14. Eduardo Brock (C) 33. Mario Sergio 98. JP 8. Joao Vitor 41. Thayllon 10. Marquinhos Gabriel 94. Emerson Negueba 99. Cleber	31. Adriel (G) 52. Wesley Gasolina 43. Marcelo Ajul 4. Sidimar (C) 6. Yuri 55. Martinez F. 38. Sandry 7. Welinton Torrao 10. David Braga 47. Guilherme Cachoeira 21. Tavares R.
Substitutes
3. Anderson Jesus 36. DG 20. Gaspar 16. Jamerson 71. Joaquim (G) 9. Juninho 32. Leo Reis 70. Miranda J. S. 17. Nicolas Tadesco 21. Otavio Passos (G) 34. Wanderson	8. Chico Geraldes 2. Douglas Pele 45. Edson Miranda 70. Eduardo Freire (G) 11. Ezequiel 36. Felipe Vieira 25. Glauco (G) 15. Indio G. 13. Jhonatan Silva 20. Joao Miguel 19. Neto Costa
Coaches
Vinicius Bergantin	Rojas R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
11', David Braga ↓, Chico Geraldes ↑,
20', Jonathan Costa ↓, Anderson Jesus ↑,
24', Joao Vitor 🟨,
24', Chico Geraldes 🟨,
45+3', Yuri 🟨,
45+5', 1 - 0, Cleber (Pen),
45+6', Sandry 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
48', 2 - 0, Emerson Negueba ⚽,
57', Thayllon ↓, Gaspar ↑,
64', Wesley Gasolina 🟨,
68', Marcelo Ajul ↓, Neto Costa ↑,
68', Guilherme Cachoeira ↓, Ezequiel ↑,
69', Wesley Gasolina ↓, Douglas Pele ↑,
78', Welinton Torrao ↓, Jhonatan Silva ↑,
80', Cleber 🟨,
82', 2 - 1, Tavares R. (Pen),
82', Cesar Augusto 🟨,
88', Emerson Negueba ↓, DG ↑,
88', JP ↓, Jamerson ↑,
90+5', Marquinhos Gabriel 🟨,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 11 and 16).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

In this match, Avaí is seen as the favorite.

There will not play in Avaí: Alef Manga (Inactive) Andrey (Injury) Igor Bohn (Injury) Marcos Vinicius (Yellow Cards) Quaresma (Ankle Injury) Romildo Del Piage (Injury)

There will not play in Athletic: Edson Miranda (Inactive) Max (Inactive) Sandry (Yellow Cards)

There are questionable in Athletic: Joao Miguel (Injury) Luiz Filipe (Injury)

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Avaí won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:4.

Last Results with these Odds

Avaí - the odds 1.81 are the expected chance of winning is 50.99%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Avaí
Brazilian Serie B
25.10.25	Paysandu - Avaí	1:2 ✺
19.10.25	Avaí - Criciúma	1:1 ✺
14.10.25	Athletico Paranaense - Avaí	1:1 ✺
08.10.25	Avaí - Volta Redonda	3:0 ✺
Brazilian Copa Santa Catarina
07.10.25	Barra Santa Catarina - Avaí	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 WTTWL
- Athletic Club MG
Brazilian Serie B
25.10.25	Athletic Club - América Mineiro	0:2 ✺
18.10.25	Remo - Athletic Club	3:1 ✺
11.10.25	Athletic Club - Goiás	1:1 ✺
08.10.25	Operário Ferroviario - Athletic Club	1:4 ✺
03.10.25	Athletic Club - Amazonas	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 LLTWT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
14.07.25	Athletic Club - Avaí	4:0

Upcoming Matches