Match Info

Date: 22 October 2021, Friday


	Avaí		Cruzeiro

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.2	2.95	3.4
	2.32	2.8	3.1	Watch
	2.43	2.8	3.1
	2.56	2.87	3.4
	2.38	2.88	3.1
	2.45	3.05	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.39 ↑ (2.39)	2.89 ↓ (3.12)	3.2 ↓ (3.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Avaí
38.9%

Draw
32.1%

Cruzeiro
29%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.1%

30.7%

29.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.3%

23.1%

22%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Avaí has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Cruzeiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Avaí than the current prediction. (+14.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Avaí, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cruzeiro than the current prediction. (-7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Cruzeiro, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Avaí - Cruzeiro Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A and 12).

Avaí is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Cruzeiro is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Cruzeiro could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Avaí will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Avaí won 3 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 12-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Avaí won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Avaí
Brazilian Serie B
16.10.21	Confiança - Avaí	3:1 ✺
05.10.21	Avaí - Ponte Preta	1:1 ✺
02.10.21	Botafogo RJ - Avaí	1:2 ✺
28.09.21	Avaí - Londrina	2:0 ✺
25.09.21	CRB Maceio - Avaí	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.7 LTWWW
- Cruzeiro MG
Brazilian Serie B
12.10.21	Cruzeiro - Botafogo RJ	0:0 ✺
08.10.21	Coritiba - Cruzeiro	0:3 ✺
03.10.21	Cruzeiro - Brasil de Pelotas	2:0 ✺
29.09.21	Guarani - Cruzeiro	1:1 ✺
26.09.21	Cruzeiro - CS Alagoano	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 TWWTL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
17.07.21	Cruzeiro - Avaí	0:3
18.12.20	Avaí - Cruzeiro	1:1
25.09.20	Cruzeiro - Avaí	0:1
Brazilian Serie A
18.11.19	Cruzeiro - Avaí	0:0
11.08.19	Avaí - Cruzeiro	2:2
15.11.17	Cruzeiro - Avaí	2:2
23.07.17	Avaí - Cruzeiro	1:0

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