The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Avaí 17.8%
Draw 23.6%
Flamengo 58.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
22.6%
25.2%
52.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
22.8%
25.4%
51.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Avaí has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)
Flamengo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Flamengo's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Avaí than the current prediction. (+5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Flamengo than the current prediction. (-6.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Flamengo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
15%
27.5%
57.5%
Avaí - Flamengo Predictions
Users Predictions:
40 users predict this event. Avaí will win (votes: 6 - 15%). Flamengo will win (votes: 23 - 57.5%). It will Tie (votes: 11 - 27.5%). Confidence interval (95%) for Flamengo: 42.2% – 72.8%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Preview
Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 14 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage)).
Avaí has the most likely position - 18 (11.37%), has project points - 41, has currently - 21, has a chance of relegated (41%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Flamengo has the most likely position - 2 (16.03%), has project points - 64, has currently - 27, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a small chance of win league (11%).
This event has quality50, importance43, match rating47. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Last 5 head-to-head matches Avaí won 0.
Avaí is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Flamengo is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Avaí could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
Recently Flamengo have a series of home games.
In this match Flamengo is a favorite.
There will not play in Avaí: Arthur Chaves
(Injury)
Baya
(Injury)
Galdezani M.
(Injury)
Morato
(Injury)
Muriqui
(Injury)
Romulo
(Injury)
There will not play in Flamengo: Bruno Henrique
(Knee Injury)
Rodrigo Caio
(Knee Injury)
Last 6 head-to-head matches Avaí won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 5-15.
Including matches at home between the teams Avaí won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-5.
Watch
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