Match Info

Serie B - Round 32

Date: 7 October 2026, Wednesday

Location: Dr. Aderbal Ramos da Silva (Ressacada) (Florianópolis)

Referee: Correia B. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Disney+


	Avaí		Londrina

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.1	3.3	Watch
	2.15	3.10	3.30
	2.2	3	3.25	Watch
	2.31	3.16	3.57
	2.28	3.09	3.31	Watch
	2.2	3.1	3.5
	2.23	3.08	3.38	Watch
	2.22	3.05	3.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.23 ↑ (1.98)	3.09 ↓ (3.3)	3.36 ↓ (3.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Avaí
41.9%

Draw
30.3%

Londrina
27.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.1%

28.3%

24.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.8%

27.3%

23.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Avaí has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Avaí's form might have worsened.

Londrina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Avaí than the current prediction. (+6.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Avaí, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Londrina than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	50%	0%

Avaí - Londrina Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Avaí will win (votes: 3 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
94. Bruno Ferreira (G) 22. Joao Vitor 3. Allyson 38. Jefferson Maciel 36. Douglas Teixeira 95. Wenderson 77. Ze Ricardo 8. Luiz Henrique 10. Jean Lucas (C) 18. Hyan 19. Caio Suassuna	1. Luan Ribeiro (G) 75. Kaue Leonardo 15. Gabriel Lacerda 4. Wallace (C) 44. Caio Rodrigues 34. Heron 17. Joao Coni 77. Guilherme Dantas 20. Joao Vitor 28. Herbert 99. Igor Bahia
Substitutes
70. Gaspar 15. Guilherme Aquino 1. Igor Bohn (G) 20. Isaias 30. Kaua Gabriel 7. Leo Chu 9. Leo Gamalho 25. Paulo Vitor 35. Pedrao 66. Quaresma 5. Romildo Del Piage 2. Wallison	13. Andre Dhominique 33. Kevyn 30. Mauricio Kozlinski (G) 11. Pablo Dyego 5. Tarik 96. Thalis 3. Victor Feitosa 7. Vitinho Mota 23. Willian Pottker

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
6', 1 - 0, Caio Suassuna ⚽, Jean Lucas (A),
30', Hyan 🟨,
32', 2 - 0, Hyan ⚽,
39', Guilherme Dantas 🟨,
45+2', Douglas Teixeira 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Herbert ↓, Vitinho Mota ↑,
46', Gabriel Lacerda ↓, Willian Pottker ↑,
49', 2 - 1, Willian Pottker ⚽, Joao Vitor (A),
58', Hyan ↓, Leo Chu ↑,
67', Allyson 🟨,
68', Igor Bahia ↓, Pablo Dyego ↑,
68', Guilherme Dantas ↓, Victor Feitosa ↑,
70', Caio Suassuna ↓, Leo Gamalho ↑,
70', Luiz Henrique ↓, Paulo Vitor ↑,
77', Wenderson ↓, Gaspar ↑,
77', Leo Gamalho 🟨,
82', Joao Coni ↓, Thalis ↑,
90+5', Leo Chu 🟨,

Preview

A dramatic battle between two struggling sides fighting for survival points (ranked 17th in the Relegation - Serie C (First stage: ) and 18th in the Relegation - Serie C (First stage: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Avaí won 2.

Avaí has struggled for results with multiple recent losses (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Londrina has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Avaí is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

Confirmed absences for Avaí: Daniel Penha (Yellow Cards) Juan Rocha (Injury) Pedro Cuiaba (Injury) Rildo (Inactive) Vizeu F. (Yellow Cards) William (Injury).

Confirmed absences for Londrina: Artur (Injury) Chumbinho (Red Card) Geovane Meurer (Injury) Gilberto (Injury) Guilherme Dantas (Inactive) Lucas Marques (Inactive) Nino Paraiba (Injury).

Doubtful / questionable for Londrina: Paulinho Moccelin (Muscle Injury).

In the last 10 head-to-head meetings, Avaí has recorded 5 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 13:8 (averaging 1.3:0.8 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Avaí against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss, with 4:2 goals (averaging 0.8:0.4 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
17	Avai	32	9	6	17	32:43	-11	33
18	Londrina	32	7	7	18	40:47	-7	28

Last Results with these Odds

Avaí - the odds 1.98 are the expected chance of winning is 47.15%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Avaí
Brazilian Serie B
03.10.26	Avaí - Ceará	0:1 ✺
27.09.26	Criciúma - Avaí	3:0 ✺
20.09.26	Goiás - Avaí	2:1 ✺
14.09.26	Avaí - Vila Nova	1:1 ✺
09.09.26	Fortaleza - Avaí	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LLLTL
- Londrina EC
Brazilian Serie B
02.10.26	Londrina - Criciúma	0:2 ✺
25.09.26	Vila Nova - Londrina	2:0 ✺
20.09.26	Londrina - Fortaleza	1:2 ✺
15.09.26	Londrina - Ponte Preta	6:0 ✺
10.09.26	São Bernardo - Londrina	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 LLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
15.06.26	Londrina - Avaí	3:2
15.10.23	Londrina - Avaí	1:1
24.06.23	Avaí - Londrina	0:0
28.09.21	Avaí - Londrina	2:0
30.06.21	Londrina - Avaí	1:3
03.11.18	Avaí - Londrina	1:1
12.07.18	Londrina - Avaí	1:2

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