Match Info

BRAZIL: SERIE B - ROUND 24

Date: 19 August 2023, Saturday

Location: Ressacada (Florianópolis)

Referee: Pereira de Lima R. J. (Bra)


	Avaí		Tombense

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.93	3.1	3.8
	1.98	3.1	3.85
	1.98	3.25	4.51
	2	2.8	3.7
	1.98	3.16	4.25	Watch
	1.97	3.25	3.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.97 ↓ (2.05)	3.11 ↑ (2.9)	3.99 ↑ (3.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Avaí
47%

Draw
29.8%

Tombense
23.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.9%

31.1%

25%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.8%

29.8%

24%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Avaí has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

Tombense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Avaí than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tombense than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
61.5%	30.8%	7.7%

Avaí - Tombense Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Avaí will win (votes: 8 - 61.5%). Tombense will win (votes: 1 - 7.7%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 30.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Avaí: 35% – 88%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Igor Bohn (G) 98. Igor 4. Roberto Rosa 35. Felipe Silva 31. Bruno Cortez (C) 8. Eduardo 5. Wellington 23. Rafael Gava 10. Willian Pottker 9. Denilson 25. Natanael	1. Felipe Garcia (G) 2. Kevin 3. Luis Felipe 4. Mateus Buiate 6. Egidio (C) 7. Alexandre Jesus 5. Djalma 8. Joao Pedro 11. Kleiton 20. Fernandao 10. Matheus Frizzo
Substitutes
12. Avaiana N. 47. Denilson 22. Douglas Friedrich (G) 68. Edinho 90. Fellipe Bastos 11. Gabriel Poveda 18. Gazao 77. Giovanni 16. Jean Cleber 95. Jonathan Costa 38. Rocha F. 72. Thales Oleques 39. Xavier	17. Daniel Amorim 16. Emerson 14. Gregorio P. 19. Keke 12. Leo Lang (G) 21. Marcelinho 13. Pedro Costa 15. Pierre 18. Rafinha
Coaches
Barroca E.	Burse J.

Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 16 and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )).

Recent matches Avaí is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Tombense is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Tombense could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Avaí will have a small advantage in this match.

There will not play in Avaí: Alan (Injury) Didi (Injury) Guilherme Santos (Injury) Otavio Passos (Injury) Thiago Rosa (Injury) Waguininho (Injury)

Last 1 head-to-head matches Avaí won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Avaí
Brazilian Serie B
12.08.23	Vila Nova - Avaí	1:1 ✺
05.08.23	Avaí - Criciúma	1:0 ✺
01.08.23	Mirassol - Avaí	2:2 ✺
29.07.23	Avaí - Guarani	1:2 ✺
22.07.23	Ituano - Avaí	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.7 TWTLW
- Tombense FC
Brazilian Serie B
11.08.23	Tombense - Sport Recife	0:0 ✺
07.08.23	Atlético Goianiense - Tombense	3:2 ✺
02.08.23	Ituano - Tombense	1:0 ✺
30.07.23	Tombense - Criciúma	2:2 ✺
22.07.23	Mirassol - Tombense	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 TLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
06.05.23	Tombense - Avaí	0:1

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