The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Avaí 17.9%
Draw 26.1%
Atlético Mineiro 56%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
16.7%
25%
58.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
16.9%
25.3%
57.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Avaí has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)
Atlético Mineiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Avaí than the current prediction. (-1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Mineiro than the current prediction. (+1.8%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
21.1%
36.8%
42.1%
Avaí - Atlético Mineiro Predictions
Users Predictions:
19 users predict this event. Avaí will win (votes: 4 - 21.1%). Atlético MG will win (votes: 8 - 42.1%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 36.8%). Confidence interval (95%) for Atlético MG: 19.9% – 64.3%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Preview
Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage)).
Avaí has the most likely position - 19 (27.42%), has project points - 36, has currently - 25, has a good chance of relegated (78%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Atlético MG has the most likely position - 6 (18.76%), has project points - 60, has currently - 40, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
This event has quality47, small importance24, match rating36. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Last 5 head-to-head matches Avaí won 1.
Avaí is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Recent matches Atlético MG is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Atlético MG could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match Atlético MG is a favorite.
There will not play in Atlético MG: Hulk
(Injury)
Igor Rabello
(Injury)
Kardec Alan
(Injury)
Otavio
(Injury)
Pedrinho
(Injury)
There are questionable in Avaí: Bressan
(Injury)
Last 7 head-to-head matches Avaí won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 5-12.
Including matches at home between the teams Avaí won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-5.
Watch
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