Match Info

Serie B - Round 31

Date: 18 March 2026, Wednesday

Location: Stadio Partenio-Adriano Lombardi (Avellino)

Referee: Galipo S. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	DAZN Italia, LAB Channel
World	Onefootball


	Avellino		Südtirol-Alto Adige

	1	X	2
	2.3	2.7	3.6	Watch
	2.65	3.2	2.65
	2.3	2.72	3.55
	2.44	2.75	3.86
	2.34	2.78	3.62	Watch
	2.38	2.8	3.25
	2.38	2.79	3.65	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.4 ↓ (2.61)	2.82 ↓ (3.15)	3.45 ↑ (2.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Avellino
39.3%

Draw
33.4%

Südtirol-Alto Adige
27.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.5%

29.4%

35.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.7%

28.7%

35.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Avellino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

Südtirol-Alto Adige has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Südtirol-Alto Adige might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Avellino than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Südtirol-Alto Adige than the current prediction. (+8.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Südtirol-Alto Adige could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
38.1%	52.4%	9.5%

Avellino - Südtirol Alto Adige Predictions

Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. Avellino will win (votes: 8 - 38.1%). Südtirol will win (votes: 2 - 9.5%). It will Tie (votes: 11 - 52.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 31% – 73.8%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Südtirol (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +0.25 - Avellino (1.39) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Avellino (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Südtirol (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Daffara G. (G) 29. Cancellotti T. 44. Simic L. 4. Izzo A. 63. Fontanarosa A. 24. Sounas D. 6. Palmiero L. 39. Besaggio M. 20. Palumbo M. 9. Patierno C. (C) 14. Biasci T.	31. Adamonis M. (G) 34. Veseli F. 3. Bordon F. 5. Masiello A. (C) 94. El Kaouakibi H. 26. Frigerio M. R. 18. Tronchin S. 89. Crnigoj D. 23. Davi F. 11. Tonin R. 33. Merkaj S.
Substitutes
21. Armellino M. 56. Enrici P. 1. Iannarilli A. (G) 94. Insigne R. 16. Kumi J. 27. Le Borgne A. 78. Milani A. 2. Missori F. 10. Russo R. 3. Sala M. 18. Sgarbi L. 7. Tutino G.	1. Borra D. (G) 46. Brik D. 17. Casiraghi D. 28. Kofler R. 4. Mancini D. 6. Martini J. 9. Pecorino E. 13. Sabatini C. 62. Theiner D. (G) 99. Verdi S.
Coaches
Ballardini D.	Castori F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
1', Bordon F. 🟨,
24', 1 - 0, Patierno C. ⚽, Biasci T. (A),
32', Adamonis M. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
46', Tonin R. ↓, Pecorino E. ↑,
46', Bordon F. ↓, Casiraghi D. ↑,
46', Cancellotti T. 🟨,
47', Izzo A. 🟨,
47', El Kaouakibi H. 🟨,
52', 1 - 1, Casiraghi D. (Penalty Awarded),
52', Simic L. 🟨,
56', Patierno C. 🟨,
58', Palmiero L. 🟨,
62', Pecorino E. 🟨,
71', Crnigoj D. ↓, Martini J. ↑,
72', 2 - 1, Besaggio M. ⚽, Patierno C. (A),
73', Masiello A. ↓, Mancini D. ↑,
75', 2 - 2, Pecorino E. ⚽, Casiraghi D. (A),
77', Patierno C. ↓, Russo R. ↑,
80', 3 - 2, Izzo A. ⚽, Simic L. (A),
80', Veseli F. 🟨,
82', Palumbo M. ↓, Le Borgne A. ↑,
82', Biasci T. ↓, Tutino G. ↑,
84', Frigerio M. R. ↓, Verdi S. ↑,
90+3', Besaggio M. ↓, Armellino M. ↑,
90+5', Tronchin S. 🟨,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 10 and 9).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

There will not play in Avellino: Favilli A. (Tendon Injury) Pandolfi L. (Injury) Reale F. (Muscle Injury)

There will not play in Südtirol: Coulibaly M. (Inactive) Cragno A. (Injury) Odogwu R. (Inactive) Pietrangeli N. (Inactive) Tait F. (Red Card) Zedadka K. (Yellow Cards)

There are questionable in Avellino: Palmiero L. (Injury) Sala M. (Injury)

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Avellino won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:1. (average 1:0.3).

Including home match between the teams, Avellino won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Sudtirol	6	3	3	0	9:3	6	12
5	Avellino	6	3	1	2	11:7	4	10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Avellino
Italian Serie B
15.03.26	Virtus Entella - Avellino	1:2 ✺
07.03.26	Avellino - Padova	1:0 ✺
03.03.26	Venezia - Avellino	4:0 ✺
28.02.26	Avellino - Juve Stabia	0:0 ✺
22.02.26	Reggiana - Avellino	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 WWLTT
- Südtirol-Alto Adige
Italian Serie B
15.03.26	Südtirol-Alto Adige - Pescara	0:0 ✺
07.03.26	Südtirol-Alto Adige - Virtus Entella	0:1 ✺
03.03.26	Reggiana - Südtirol-Alto Adige	0:4 ✺
28.02.26	Südtirol-Alto Adige - Venezia	1:1 ✺
21.02.26	Palermo - Südtirol-Alto Adige	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 TLWTL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
29.11.25	Südtirol-Alto Adige - Avellino	0:1
Italian Serie C Group A
02.06.21	Südtirol-Alto Adige - Avellino	1:0
30.05.21	Avellino - Südtirol-Alto Adige	2:0

Avellino - Südtirol-Alto Adige: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide