Match Info

Gaucho - Round 1

Date: 10 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Eucaliptos (Santa Cruz do Sul)


	Avenida		Grêmio

	1	X	2
	9	4.75	1.33	Watch
	5.5	3.6	1.57
	9.2	4.55	1.31
	9.63	4.81	1.28	Watch
	9.5	4	1.3
	9.85	4.25	1.31	Watch
	10	4.75	1.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	8.95 ↑ (5.24)	4.39 ↑ (3.69)	1.34 ↓ (1.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Avenida
10.3%

Draw
21%

Grêmio
68.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

17.2%

24.4%

58.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Avenida has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Avenida's form might have worsened.

Grêmio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Grêmio's recent form is better than expected.

Avenida - Grêmio Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Rodrigo Mama (G) 2. Cristian Lessa 5. Anderson Uchoa 4. Jo 3. Rodrigo Milanez 6. Vinicius Silva 7. Wellisson 8. Anderson Recife 10. Tinga 11. Xandy 9. Tucao Emerson	12. Gabriel Grando (G) 14. Marcos Rocha (C) 53. Gustavo Martins 3. Wagner Leonardo 47. Roger 29. Arthur Melo 39. Tiago 10. Cristaldo F. 38. Caio Paulista 9. Amuzu F. 95. Carlos Vinicius
Substitutes
16. Adryel Itaqui 18. Emerson Junior 15. Kauan Bizescki 21. Luisinho 14. Matheus Serra 20. Ranisson 19. Rodrigues da Silva M. 12. Ronaldo (G) 22. Wagner M. L. (G) 17. Wesley Pionteck 23. Yuri 13. Ze Pedro	16. Aravena A. 6. Cuellar G. 17. Dodi 8. Edenilson 2. Fabian Balbuena 18. Joao Pedro 7. Pavon C. 65. Riquelme 1. Tiago Volpi (G) 44. Viery 4. Walter Kannemann 88. Willian

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 4)
46', 0 - 1, Amuzu F. ⚽, Tiago (A),
49', 0 - 2, Wagner Leonardo ⚽, Roger (A),
54', 0 - 3, Roger ⚽, Cristaldo F. (A),
56', Anderson Recife ↓, Ze Pedro ↑,
57', Tinga ↓, Ranisson ↑,
57', Cristian Lessa ↓, Emerson Junior ↑,
57', Cristaldo F. ↓, Willian ↑,
57', Tiago ↓, Dodi ↑,
57', Amuzu F. ↓, Aravena A. ↑,
58', Roger ↓, Pavon C. ↑,
66', Pavon C. 🟨,
72', 0 - 4, Arthur Melo ⚽,
74', Tucao Emerson ↓, Luisinho ↑,
75', Carlos Vinicius ↓, Riquelme ↑,
76', Ze Pedro 🟨,
88', Xandy ↓, Wesley Pionteck ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Avenida won 0.

Grêmio has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Grêmio is the clear favorite.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Avenida won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 5:18. (average 0.7:2.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Avenida won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:9. (average 1:2.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- EC Avenida
Brazilian Campeonato Gaucho
15.03.25	Brasil de Pelotas - Avenida	0:1 ✺
09.03.25	Avenida - EC Pelotas	4:1 ✺
05.03.25	EC São José Porto Alegre - Avenida	1:0 ✺
02.03.25	Avenida - EC São José Porto Alegre	3:2 ✺
23.02.25	EC Pelotas - Avenida	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.3 WWLWT
- Grêmio RS
Brazilian Serie A
07.12.25	Sport Recife - Grêmio	0:4 ✺
02.12.25	Grêmio - Fluminense	1:2 ✺
25.11.25	Grêmio - Palmeiras	3:2 ✺
22.11.25	Botafogo RJ - Grêmio	3:2 ✺
19.11.25	Grêmio - Vasco da Gama	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Gaucho
03.02.24	Avenida - Grêmio	0:1
12.02.23	Grêmio - Avenida	2:0
10.02.19	Grêmio - Avenida	6:0
28.03.18	Grêmio - Avenida	1:1
25.03.18	Avenida - Grêmio	0:3
24.01.18	Avenida - Grêmio	3:2
08.02.15	Avenida - Grêmio	1:3

Upcoming Matches