Match Info

Date: 21 November 2020, Saturday


	Avispa Fukuoka		Montedio Yamagata

	1	X	2
	2.5	3.25	2.8	Watch
	2.5	3.15	2.8	Watch
	2.41	3	2.9
	2.52	3.23	3.05
	2.5	3	2.9
	2.5	3.24	2.93
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.49 (2.49)	3.15 ↓ (3.17)	2.9 ↑ (2.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Avispa Fukuoka
37.7%

Draw
29.9%

Montedio Yamagata
32.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.6%

29.6%

32.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.9%

21.9%

24.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Avispa Fukuoka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Montedio Yamagata has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Avispa Fukuoka than the current prediction. (+13.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Avispa Fukuoka, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Montedio Yamagata than the current prediction. (-8.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Montedio Yamagata, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Avispa Fukuoka - Montedio Yamagata Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

The great teams are gonna meet at this game. The most expected match between two teams from the very top of the group (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion to J1 League and 7).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Avispa Fukuoka won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 11-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Avispa Fukuoka won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Avispa Fukuoka
Japan J2 League
15.11.20	Renofa Yamaguchi - Avispa Fukuoka	0:1 ✺
11.11.20	Avispa Fukuoka - Ryūkyū	3:1 ✺
08.11.20	Avispa Fukuoka - Matsumoto Yamaga	0:1 ✺
04.11.20	Mito HollyHock - Avispa Fukuoka	0:1 ✺
01.11.20	Júbilo Iwata - Avispa Fukuoka	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WWLWL
- Montedio Yamagata
Japan J2 League
15.11.20	Montedio Yamagata - Tokushima Vortis	0:1 ✺
11.11.20	Montedio Yamagata - Omiya Ardija	2:1 ✺
08.11.20	JEF United Chiba - Montedio Yamagata	1:5 ✺
04.11.20	Montedio Yamagata - Albirex Niigata	1:2 ✺
01.11.20	Kyoto Sanga - Montedio Yamagata	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Japan J2 League
09.09.20	Montedio Yamagata - Avispa Fukuoka	0:1
31.07.19	Montedio Yamagata - Avispa Fukuoka	1:2
26.04.19	Avispa Fukuoka - Montedio Yamagata	0:1
21.10.18	Montedio Yamagata - Avispa Fukuoka	2:2
03.05.18	Avispa Fukuoka - Montedio Yamagata	2:1
29.07.17	Avispa Fukuoka - Montedio Yamagata	2:0
26.03.17	Montedio Yamagata - Avispa Fukuoka	0:0

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