The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Avispa Fukuoka 33.6%
Draw 35%
Tokyo Verdy 31.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
38.9%
33.3%
27.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
39.5%
33.8%
27.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Avispa Fukuoka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Avispa Fukuoka's form might have worsened.
Tokyo Verdy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Avispa Fukuoka than the current prediction. (+5.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Avispa Fukuoka, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tokyo Verdy than the current prediction. (-4%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
26.7%
46.7%
26.7%
Avispa Fukuoka - Tokyo Verdy Predictions
Users Predictions:
15 users predict this event. Avispa Fukuoka will win (votes: 4 - 26.7%). Tokyo Verdy will win (votes: 4 - 26.7%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 46.7%). Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 21.5% โ 71.9%.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH 0 - Tokyo Verdy (1.96) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Tokyo Verdy will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%) ๐ฅ Bronze Tip.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Avispa Fukuoka (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Tokyo Verdy (votes: 5 - 83.3%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
31. Murakami M. (G) 5. Kamijima T. 20. Ando T. 77. Shichi T. 2. Yuzawa M. 6. Shigemi M. 88. Matsuoka D. 29. Maejima Y. 8. Konno K. 22. Fujimoto K. 18. Iwasaki Y.
1. Matheus Vidotto (G) 23. Tsunashima Y. 2. Fukazawa D. 3. Taniguchi H. 22. Onaga H. 16. Hirakawa R. 7. Morita K. 40. Arai Y. 11. Yamami H. 8. Saito K. 10. Kimura Y.
Substitutes
15. Akino H. 47. Hashimoto Y. 7. Kanamori T. 19. Kim M. 49. Maeda I. 1. Nagaishi T. (G) 14. Nago S. 37. Tashiro M. 17. Wellington
5. Chida K. 17. Inami T. 37. Kawasaki S. 25. Kumatoriya I. 19. Matsuhashi Y. 20. Meshino S. 21. Nagasawa Y. (G) 9. Someno I. 15. Suzuki K.
Coaches
Kim Myong-hwi
Hiroshi J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
32', Yuzawa M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Yuzawa M. ↓, Hashimoto Y. ↑,
62', Yamami H. ↓, Someno I. ↑,
63', Iwasaki Y. ↓, Wellington ↑,
64', Konno K. 🟨,
70', Fujimoto K. ↓, Nago S. ↑,
70', Konno K. ↓, Kanamori T. ↑,
81', Nago S. 🟨,
82', Shigemi M. ↓, Akino H. ↑,
82', Saito K. ↓, Matsuhashi Y. ↑,
83', Kimura Y. ↓, Kawasaki S. ↑,
89', Arai Y. ↓, Kumatoriya I. ↑,
Preview
Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 14 and 13).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Avispa Fukuoka won 1.
Avispa Fukuoka has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Tokyo Verdy has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins โ 3).
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
There will not play in Tokyo Verdy: Hayashi N.
(Injury)
Sako M.
(Knee Injury)
Yamada G.
(Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Avispa Fukuoka: Hisashi J.
(Knee Injury)
Ikeda J.
(Knee Injury)
Nara T.
(Knee Injury)
Oda I.
(Knee Injury)
In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Avispa Fukuoka won 4 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 17:14. (average 1.1:0.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Avispa Fukuoka won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 7:8. (average 0.8:0.9).