Match Info

J1 League - Round 17

Date: 17 May 2025, Saturday

Location: Hiroshima Big Arch (Hiroshima)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	QQ Sports
Japan	DAZN Japan


	Sanfrecce Hiroshima		Tokyo Verdy

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.3	4.5	Watch
	1.85	3.2	4.5
	1.74	3.31	4.83	Watch
	1.94	3.24	4.92
	1.76	3.38	5.42	Watch
	1.85	3.1	4.5
	1.85	3.34	4.75	Watch
	1.76	3.35	4.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.83 ↑ (1.74)	3.28 ↓ (3.45)	4.79 ↓ (5.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sanfrecce Hiroshima
51.6%

Draw
28.7%

Tokyo Verdy
19.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.1%

27.2%

18.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.1%

26.7%

18.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sanfrecce Hiroshima has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Tokyo Verdy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sanfrecce Hiroshima than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tokyo Verdy than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
78.6%	0%	21.4%

Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Tokyo Verdy Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.75 - Hiroshima (1.96) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

Users Predictions: Sanfrecce Hiroshima will win (11 of 14 users predict this - 78.57%).
Confidence interval (95%): 57.08% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Sanfrecce Hiroshima will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Hiroshima (votes: 5 - 83.3%). Tokyo Verdy (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Osako K. (G) 33. Shiotani T. 4. Araki H. 19. Sasaki S. (C) 15. Nakano S. 24. Higashi S. 6. Kawabe H. 13. Arai N. 41. Maeda N. 51. Kato M. 9. Germain R.	1. Matheus Vidotto (G) 23. Tsunashima Y. 2. Fukazawa D. 3. Taniguchi H. 22. Onaga H. 7. Morita K. (C) 16. Hirakawa R. 40. Arai Y. 14. Fukuda Y. 8. Saito K. 9. Someno I.
Substitutes
98. Germain V. 36. Inoue A. 20. Inoue S. 26. Jeong Min-Ki (G) 32. Koshimichi S. 5. Matsumoto H. 40. Ohara M. 18. Suga D. 3. Yamasaki T.	17. Inami T. 37. Kawasaki S. 10. Kimura Y. 19. Matsuhashi Y. 20. Meshino S. 21. Nagasawa Y. (G) 27. Shirai R. 15. Suzuki K. 11. Yamami H.
Coaches
Skibbe M.	Hiroshi J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Arai Y. ↓, Matsuhashi Y. ↑,
46', Someno I. ↓, Kimura Y. ↑,
55', Saito K. ↓, Yamami H. ↑,
62', Tsunashima Y. ↓, Suzuki K. ↑,
63', Matsuhashi Y. 🟨,
68', Maeda N. ↓, Germain V. ↑,
73', Hirakawa R. ↓, Inami T. ↑,
77', 0 - 1, Kimura Y. (Pen),
79', Arai N. ↓, Suga D. ↑,
84', Higashi S. ↓, Koshimichi S. ↑,
87', 1 - 1, Germain V. ⚽, Araki H. (A),
89', 2 - 1, Kawabe H. ⚽, Araki H. (A),

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 5 and 14).

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

In this match, Hiroshima is a strong favorite.

There will not play in Hiroshima: Arslan T. (Knee Injury) Nakajima Y. (Injury)

There will not play in Tokyo Verdy: Hayashi N. (Injury) Sako M. (Knee Injury) Yamada G. (Knee Injury)

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Hiroshima won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:3. (average 2.7:1).

Including home match between the teams, Hiroshima won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Japan J1 League
11.05.25	Gamba Osaka - Sanfrecce Hiroshima	0:1 ✺
07.05.25	Shonan Bellmare - Sanfrecce Hiroshima	0:1 ✺
03.05.25	Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Avispa Fukuoka	2:1 ✺
29.04.25	Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Albirex Niigata	0:1 ✺
25.04.25	Urawa Red Diamonds - Sanfrecce Hiroshima	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WWWLL
- Tokyo Verdy
Japan J1 League
11.05.25	Tokyo Verdy - Shonan Bellmare	0:2 ✺
06.05.25	Tokyo Verdy - Yokohama FC	2:0 ✺
03.05.25	Urawa Red Diamonds - Tokyo Verdy	2:0 ✺
29.04.25	Fagiano Okayama - Tokyo Verdy	0:1 ✺
25.04.25	Tokyo Verdy - Cerezo Osaka	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Japan J1 League
07.08.24	Tokyo Verdy - Sanfrecce Hiroshima	0:1
15.06.24	Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Tokyo Verdy	4:1
Japan J League Cup
22.05.24	Tokyo Verdy - Sanfrecce Hiroshima	2:3

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