Match Info

NPL Premier Division - Round 10

Date: 21 October 2026, Wednesday


	Avro		Ashton United

	1	X	2
	1.77	3.60	3.50
	1.78	3.6	3.55
	1.81	4.1	3.24
	1.84	4.25	3.45	Watch
	1.77	4	3.15
	1.75	3.88	3.59
	1.78	3.65	3.50
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.79 ↑ (1.73)	3.87 ↓ (4.15)	3.43 ↓ (3.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Avro
50.4%

Draw
23.3%

Ashton United
26.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

53.7%

22.4%

23.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.2%

20.1%

26.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Avro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

Ashton United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Avro than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ashton United than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Avro - Ashton United Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Avro (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
8', 1 - 0, Salt H. ⚽,
15', 2 - 0, Simms J. ⚽,
20', 3 - 0, Ehimamiegho D. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
77', 3 - 1, Naylor C. ⚽,
79', 3 - 2, O'Neill M. ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between a top-table contender and a mid-table team (ranked 5th in the Promotion - NPL Premier Division Playoffs - Quarter - finals and 16th).

Avro has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Ashton has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Avro may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Bookmakers give the edge to Avro for this game.

These two teams have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Avro	14	9	1	4	37:27	10	28
16	Ashton Utd	14	3	5	6	17:18	-1	14

Outrights of English NPL Premier Division for now

Avro: 10.23%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Avro FC
English NPL Premier Division
17.10.26	Ilkeston - Avro	2:0 ✺
13.10.26	Redcar Athletic - Avro	3:1 ✺
10.10.26	Avro - Guiseley	0:1 ✺
07.10.26	Avro - Lancaster City	5:3 ✺
12.09.26	Gainsborough Trinity - Avro	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LLLWW
- Ashton United
English NPL Premier Division
17.10.26	Ashton United - Redcar Athletic	1:2 ✺
13.10.26	Ashton United - Alfreton Town	0:0 ✺
10.10.26	Leek Town - Ashton United	2:2 ✺
06.10.26	Quorn - Ashton United	2:2 ✺
English FA Cup
19.09.26	Buxton - Ashton United	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LTTTL

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