Match Info

III Liga - Group II - Round 12

Date: 10 October 2026, Saturday


	Błękitni Stargard Szczeciński		Lipno Stęszew

	1	X	2
	1.43	4.40	5.25
	1.43	4.25	5.3
	1.39	4.5	5.33
	1.43	4.75	5.5	Watch
	1.36	4.4	5.2
	1.39	4.6	5.81	Watch
	1.42	4.2	5.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.41 ↓ (1.42)	4.44 ↑ (4.2)	5.38 ↑ (5.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Błękitni Stargard Szczeciński
63.4%

Draw
20.1%

Lipno Stęszew
16.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.3%

21.1%

16.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.5%

20.1%

15.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Błękitni Stargard Szczeciński has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Lipno Stęszew has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Błękitni Stargard Szczeciński than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lipno Stęszew than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Błękitni Stargard Szczeciński - Lipno Stęszew Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

A clear contrast in standings as an upper-tier team meets a relegation-threatened side (ranked 4th and 18th in the Relegation).

In recent outings, Stargard has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Lipno Stęszew has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Stargard carries the favorite tag into this contest.

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Stargard has recorded 2 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 5:2 (averaging 2.5:1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Stargard against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 3:1 goals.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Blekitni Stargard	11	5	3	3	27:19	8	18
18	Lipno Steszew	11	1	2	8	11:23	-12	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Błękitni Stargard Szczeciński
Polish Division 3 - Group II
03.10.26	Błękitni Stargard Szczeciński - KKS Kalisz	5:0 ✺
26.09.26	Chemik Bydgoszcz - Błękitni Stargard Szczeciński	3:3 ✺
19.09.26	Błękitni Stargard Szczeciński - Września	1:1 ✺
12.09.26	Bałtyk Koszalin - Błękitni Stargard Szczeciński	0:2 ✺
05.09.26	Błękitni Stargard Szczeciński - Kotwica Kórnik	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WTTWL
- Lipno Stęszew
Polish Division 3 - Group II
03.10.26	Lipno Stęszew - Chemik Bydgoszcz	0:1 ✺
26.09.26	Września - Lipno Stęszew	1:1 ✺
19.09.26	Lipno Stęszew - Bałtyk Koszalin	2:1 ✺
12.09.26	Kotwica Kórnik - Lipno Stęszew	4:1 ✺
05.09.26	Lipno Stęszew - Flota Świnoujście	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 LTWLL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group II
07.03.26	Lipno Stęszew - Błękitni Stargard Szczeciński	1:2
23.08.25	Błękitni Stargard Szczeciński - Lipno Stęszew	3:1

Błękitni Stargard Szczeciński - Lipno Stęszew: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide