Match Info

III Liga - Group II - Round 12

Date: 10 October 2026, Saturday


	Bałtyk Koszalin		Unia Swarzędz

	1	X	2
	3.10	3.60	1.90
	3.25	3.5	1.9
	3.4	3.57	1.85
	3.37	3.76	1.88	Watch
	3.35	3.5	1.83
	3.3	3.62	1.89	Watch
	2.77	3.51	2.07
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.22 ↑ (2.77)	3.58 ↑ (3.51)	1.9 ↓ (2.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 9.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bałtyk Koszalin
27.8%

Draw
25%

Unia Swarzędz
47.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32%

25.2%

42.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.8%

24.3%

44.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bałtyk Koszalin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

Unia Swarzędz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bałtyk Koszalin than the current prediction. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Unia Swarzędz than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

Bałtyk Koszalin - Unia Swarzędz Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Two mid-table squads battle for vital points to solidify their season (ranked 9th and 11th).

Each of the two teams is seeking greater consistency after recent ups and downs.

Unia Swarzędz is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Bałtyk Koszalin has recorded 1 win, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 5:2 (averaging 2.5:1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Bałtyk Koszalin against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 2:2 goals.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Baltyk Koszalin	11	4	3	4	15:15	0	15
11	Unia Swarzedz	11	4	1	6	20:19	1	13

Last Results with these Odds

Unia Swarzędz - the odds 2.07 are the expected chance of winning is 42.79%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bałtyk Koszalin
Polish Division 3 - Group II
03.10.26	Grom Nowy Staw - Bałtyk Koszalin	1:3 ✺
26.09.26	Bałtyk Koszalin - Gedania Gdańsk	3:1 ✺
19.09.26	Lipno Stęszew - Bałtyk Koszalin	2:1 ✺
12.09.26	Bałtyk Koszalin - Błękitni Stargard Szczeciński	0:2 ✺
05.09.26	Chemik Bydgoszcz - Bałtyk Koszalin	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 WWLLT
- Unia Swarzędz
Polish Division 3 - Group II
03.10.26	Unia Swarzędz - Kotwica Kórnik	7:0 ✺
26.09.26	Flota Świnoujście - Unia Swarzędz	0:2 ✺
19.09.26	Unia Swarzędz - Luzino	1:3 ✺
11.09.26	Polonia Środa Wielkopolska - Unia Swarzędz	4:3 ✺
04.09.26	Unia Swarzędz - Lech Poznań 2	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WWLLT

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group II
06.06.21	Bałtyk Koszalin - Unia Swarzędz	2:2
15.08.20	Unia Swarzędz - Bałtyk Koszalin	0:3

Bałtyk Koszalin - Unia Swarzędz: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide