Match Info

WALES: CYMRU SOUTH - ROUND 27

Date: 16 March 2024, Saturday


	Baglan Dragons		Abergavenny Town

	1	X	2
	1.18	6.29	8.86
	1.19	6.37	9.03
	1.18	6.5	11.2
	1.19	6	9.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.19 ↓ (1.3)	6.29 ↑ (5.51)	9.62 ↑ (6.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 9.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Baglan Dragons
76.2%

Draw
14.4%

Abergavenny Town
9.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.8%

16.5%

13.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.3%

11.7%

19.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Baglan Dragons has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Baglan Dragons's performance.

Abergavenny Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Baglan Dragons than the current prediction. (-26.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Baglan Dragons that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Abergavenny Town than the current prediction. (+10%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Abergavenny Town could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 7 and 16 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Baglan Dragons is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Abergavenny Town has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Abergavenny Town could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Baglan Dragons is absolute favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Baglan Dragons
Welsh Cymru South
09.03.24	Cwmbran Celtic - Baglan Dragons	1:1 ✺
02.03.24	Baglan Dragons - Llanelli	1:2 ✺
24.02.24	Trefelin - Baglan Dragons	1:1 ✺
17.02.24	Baglan Dragons - Ammanford	1:3 ✺
10.02.24	Baglan Dragons - Taffs Well AFC	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 TLTLW
- Abergavenny Town
Welsh Cymru South
08.03.24	Abergavenny Town - Ammanford	0:1 ✺
23.02.24	Abergavenny Town - Cambrian United	0:2 ✺
17.02.24	Cambrian United - Abergavenny Town	6:0 ✺
09.02.24	Llanelli - Abergavenny Town	4:0 ✺
02.02.24	Abergavenny Town - Briton Ferry Llansawel	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Baglan Dragons
Welsh Cymru South
10.10.26	Baglan Dragons - Pontypridd United	✺

Baglan Dragons - Abergavenny Town: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide