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Current Win Probability
Bahia 55.4%
Draw 25.5%
Coritiba 19.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
45.8%
27.8%
26.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
46%
27.7%
26.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Bahia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Bahia's performance.
Coritiba has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Coritiba might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bahia than the current prediction. (-9.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Bahia that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Coritiba than the current prediction. (+7.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Coritiba could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
80%
13.3%
6.7%
Bahia - Coritiba Predictions
Users Predictions:
Bahia will win
(24 of 30 users predict this - 80%). Confidence interval (95%): 65.69% – 94.31%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Preview
Bahia has the most likely position - 17 (8.57%), project points - 45, currently - 3, a chance of relegated (32%), a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Coritiba has the most likely position - 20 (22.69%), project points - 36, currently - 1, a good chance of relegated (60%), a very small chance of win league (<1%).
This event has quality42, importance41, match rating42. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Last 5 head-to-head matches Bahia won 2.
Recent matches Bahia is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Coritiba is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Bahia could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match Bahia is a favorite.
There will not play in Bahia: Danilo Fernandes
(Injury)
Marcos Victor
(Injury)
Raul Gustavo
(Injury)
There will not play in Coritiba: Henrique
(Injury)
Last 9 head-to-head matches Bahia won 2 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 9-9.
Including matches at home between the teams Bahia won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.
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