Match Info

Date: 12 February 2020, Wednesday


	Bahia		Nacional Asuncion

	1	X	2
	1.61	3.6	6	Watch
	1.55	3.6	5.75
	1.55	3.4	6.25	Watch
	1.5	3.7	7
	1.54	3.67	7.01
	1.55	3.5	7
	1.57	3.62	6.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.55 ↓ (1.56)	3.58 ↑ (3.58)	6.44 ↑ (6.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bahia
59.7%

Draw
25.9%

Nacional Asuncion
14.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.6%

26%

14.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.1%

14.9%

25.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bahia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

The chances for Nacional Asuncion have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bahia than the current prediction. (-25.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Bahia that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nacional Asuncion than the current prediction. (+10.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Nacional Asuncion could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Bahia - Nacional Asuncion Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- EC Bahia
Brazilian Campeonato Baiano
09.02.20	Jacobina - Bahia	1:3 ✺
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
08.02.20	Bahia - Vitória Salvador	0:2 ✺
Copa do Brasil
05.02.20	Ríver PI - Bahia	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Baiano
02.02.20	Bahia - Jacuipense	1:1 ✺
29.01.20	Bahia de Feira - Bahia	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WLLTW
- Nacional Asuncion
Paraguayan Primera Division
08.02.20	San Lorenzo - Nacional Asuncion	1:1 ✺
02.02.20	Nacional Asuncion - Libertad Asuncion	1:2 ✺
24.01.20	Club General Díaz - Nacional Asuncion	0:2 ✺
18.01.20	Nacional Asuncion - Guaireña	3:0 ✺
15.12.19	Guaraní Asuncion - Nacional Asuncion	0:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 TLWWW

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- EC Bahia
Brazilian Serie A
11.10.26	Bahia - Mirassol	✺
- Nacional Asuncion
Paraguayan Primera Division
17.10.26	Guaraní Asuncion - Nacional Asuncion	✺
12.10.26	Nacional Asuncion - Deportivo Recoleta	✺

Bahia - Nacional Asuncion: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide