Match Info

Copa Betano do Brasil - 1/8-finals

Date: 30 July 2025, Wednesday

Location: Arena Fonte Nova (Salvador)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Amazon Prime Video


	Bahia		Retrô Brasil

	1	X	2
	1.2	6.25	13
	1.19	6	11.5
	1.2	6.1	12.5
	1.2	6.47	13.02
	1.18	6	17
	1.22	6.3	13.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.2 ↑ (1.18)	6.19 ↓ (6.38)	13.42 ↓ (16.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bahia
77.9%

Draw
15.1%

Retrô Brasil
7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

79.5%

14.7%

5.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bahia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Retrô Brasil has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
57.1%	28.6%	14.3%

Bahia - Retrô Brasil Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Bahia will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Retrô will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Bahia (votes: 3 - 60%). Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.25, 1st Half - Bahia (1.33) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Bahia (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
96. Ronaldo Strada (G) 2. Gilberto 3. Gabriel Xavier 21. Ramos S. (C) 25. Iago Borduchi 26. Nicolas Acevedo 11. Rodrigo 37. Kayky 15. Michel Araujo 8. Cauly 17. Rodriguez L.	12. Fabian Volpi (G) 25. Eduardo 3. Robson Reis 4. Rayan Ribeiro 6. Gustavo Salomao 18. Franco R. 26. Ly I. 20. Gledson 17. Diego Guerra 15. Tales 99. Vagner Love
Substitutes
7. Ademir 13. Arias S. 19. Caio Alexandre 33. David Duarte 16. Erick Pulga 10. Everton Ribeiro 6. Jean Lucas 68. Jota 46. Luciano Juba 22. Marcos Felipe (G) 12. Willian Jose 66. Ze Guilherme	16. Danillo 1. Darley (G) 14. Felipe Ferreira 28. Joao Lucas 11. Junior Fialho 9. Mascote 29. Mendonca 27. Mike 23. Paulo Gianezini (G) 8. Radsley 19. Rayne Assis 5. Romulo
Coaches
Mucke R.	Schulle I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
18', 1 - 0, Rodriguez L. ⚽, Kayky (A),
20', 2 - 0, Rodriguez L. ⚽,
33', 2 - 1, Diego Guerra ⚽,
36', Diego Guerra ↓, Mike ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Eduardo ↓, Junior Fialho ↑,
46', Vagner Love ↓, Mascote ↑,
62', Cauly ↓, Willian Jose ↑,
62', Michel Araujo ↓, Everton Ribeiro ↑,
62', Kayky ↓, Ademir ↑,
70', Gustavo Salomao ↓, Joao Lucas ↑,
71', Tales ↓, Romulo ↑,
73', Iago Borduchi ↓, Luciano Juba ↑,
73', Rodrigo ↓, Jean Lucas ↑,
74', Rodriguez L. ↓, Erick Pulga ↑,
77', Nicolas Acevedo 🟨,
78', Mike 🟨,
78', Mike ↓, Radsley ↑,
79', 3 - 1, Willian Jose ⚽, Ademir (A),
87', 3 - 2, Mascote ⚽, Romulo (A),

Preview

1st leg.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Bahia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Bahia is the obvious favorite.

There will not play in Bahia: Erick (Hamstring Injury) Fred Lippert (Inactive) Kanu (Muscle Injury) Tiago (Hamstring Injury)

There are questionable in Bahia: Rezende (Back Injury)

There are questionable in Retrô: Fernandinho (Injury)

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- EC Bahia
Brazilian Serie A
27.07.25	Bahia - Juventude	3:0 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
22.07.25	América de Cali - Bahia	2:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
19.07.25	Fortaleza - Bahia	1:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
15.07.25	Bahia - América de Cali	0:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
12.07.25	Bahia - Atlético Mineiro	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WLTTW
- Retrô Brasil
Brazilian Serie C
26.07.25	Retrô Brasil - Ypiranga	0:0 ✺
20.07.25	Brusque - Retrô Brasil	1:2 ✺
14.07.25	Retrô Brasil - CS Alagoano	0:0 ✺
05.07.25	Ituano - Retrô Brasil	2:0 ✺
28.06.25	Retrô Brasil - Londrina	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 TWTLL

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