Match Info

Serie C - First stage - Round 14

Date: 26 July 2025, Saturday

Location: Arena Pernambuco (São Lourenço da Mata)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Claro TV+, IT tv Plus, Sky+, Zapping


	Retrô Brasil		Ypiranga

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.93	3	3.7
	1.82	3.05	4.25	Watch
	1.89	3.13	4.34
	1.95	2.8	4
	1.81	3.08	4.54	Watch
	2.1	2.98	3.48
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.92 ↓ (2.08)	3.01 ↑ (2.9)	4.05 ↑ (3.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Retrô Brasil
47.4%

Draw
30.2%

Ypiranga
22.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.3%

31%

25.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.6%

31.2%

25.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Retrô Brasil has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

Ypiranga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Retrô Brasil than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ypiranga than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

Retrô Brasil - Ypiranga Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Fabian Volpi (G) 7. Fabinho (C) 18. Franco R. 20. Gledson 28. Joao Lucas 27. Mike 4. Rayan Ribeiro 3. Robson Reis 21. Rodolfo 22. Tales 19. Vagner Love	40. Ze Carlos (C) 5. Charles Raphael 9. Cristiano 11. Felipe Marques 25. Gabriel Terra 36. Igor Morais 10. Jean Pyerre 22. Rian K. R. d. N. 7. Roger 2. Vitor Marinho 3. Willian Gomes
Substitutes
16. Danillo 1. Darley (G) 17. Diego Guerra 14. Felipe Ferreira 6. Gustavo Salomao 11. Junior Fialho 26. Ly I. 9. Mascote 29. Mendonca 23. Paulo Gianezini (G) 15. Rayne Assis 5. Romulo	34. Arthur Vellasque (G) 8. Clayton 99. Danielzinho 32. Fabao 79. Gabryel Martins 30. Joao Paulo 23. Marlone 77. Pedrinho 87. Ricardo Bueno
Coaches
Schulle I.	Matheus Costa

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
5', Franco R. 🟨,
29', Rodolfo ↓, Felipe Ferreira ↑,
30', Rayan Ribeiro 🟨,
31', Rian K. R. d. N. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Franco R. ↓, Rayne Assis ↑,
46', Rayan Ribeiro ↓, Ly I. ↑,
58', Felipe Marques ↓, Gabryel Martins ↑,
59', Mike 🟨,
68', Mike ↓, Mascote ↑,
73', Rian K. R. d. N. ↓, Fabao ↑,
73', Gabriel Terra ↓, Danielzinho ↑,
78', Tales ↓, Junior Fialho ↑,
78', Cristiano ↓, Joao Paulo ↑,
78', Jean Pyerre ↓, Ricardo Bueno ↑,
90+3', Charles Raphael 🟨,
90+3', Roger 🟨,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie D and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C (Second stage: )).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Retrô is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Retrô Brasil
Brazilian Serie C
20.07.25	Brusque - Retrô Brasil	1:2 ✺
14.07.25	Retrô Brasil - CS Alagoano	0:0 ✺
05.07.25	Ituano - Retrô Brasil	2:0 ✺
28.06.25	Retrô Brasil - Londrina	0:4 ✺
14.06.25	Anápolis - Retrô Brasil	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 WTLLT
- Ypiranga FC
Brazilian Serie C
20.07.25	Ypiranga - São Bernardo	0:2 ✺
12.07.25	Floresta - Ypiranga	2:1 ✺
06.07.25	Ypiranga - Maringá	0:0 ✺
29.06.25	ABC - Ypiranga	0:3 ✺
15.06.25	Ypiranga - Confiança	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 LLTWW

Retrô Brasil - Ypiranga: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide