Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 13 - Round 19

Date: 25 January 2026, Sunday


	Bala Azul		Atlético Santa Cruz

	1	X	2
	2.1	2.78	3.6
	2.24	2.85	3.47
	2.41	2.39	4.02	Watch
	2.15	2.7	3.5
	2.17	2.82	3.5
	2.16	2.83	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.21 ↓ (2.56)	2.73 ↓ (2.84)	3.6 ↑ (2.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bala Azul
41.3%

Draw
33.4%

Atlético Santa Cruz
25.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.3%

31.9%

32.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.4%

30.9%

31.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bala Azul has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Bala Azul's performance.

Atlético Santa Cruz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Atlético Santa Cruz might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bala Azul than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Santa Cruz than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Atlético Santa Cruz could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Bala Azul - Atlético Santa Cruz Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
53', 0 - 1, ⚽,
76', 🟥,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 12 and 7).

Recent form of Bala Azul has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Santa Cruz's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Santa Cruz may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Bala Azul has had a series of away games.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Santa Cruz	5	1	3	1	8:8	0	6
13	Bala Azul	5	1	2	2	4:5	-1	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Bala Azul
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
18.01.26	Santomera - Bala Azul	1:1 ✺
11.01.26	Caravaca - Bala Azul	0:0 ✺
04.01.26	Bala Azul - Cieza	1:2 ✺
21.12.25	Muleño - Bala Azul	2:1 ✺
13.12.25	Olímpico de Totana - Bala Azul	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 TTLLL
- Atlético Santa Cruz
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
17.01.26	Atlético Santa Cruz - Olímpico de Totana	1:2 ✺
10.01.26	Atlético Santa Cruz - Cartagena B	0:2 ✺
04.01.26	Real Murcia B - Atlético Santa Cruz	3:1 ✺
17.12.25	Atlético Santa Cruz - Yeclano B	3:0 ✺
14.12.25	Minerva - Atlético Santa Cruz	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LLLWW

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