Match Info

WALES: League Cup - 1/8-finals

Date: 17 September 2024, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Maes Tegid (Bala) 🌤️ ...


	Bala Town		Holywell Town

	1	X	2
	1.38	4.5	6
	1.4	4.5	7
	1.39	4.42	6.25
	1.4	4.48	6.67	Watch
	1.36	4.75	6
	1.37	4.33	7.35
	1.4	4.5	7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.39 ↓ (1.41)	4.5 ↓ (5)	6.61 ↑ (6.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bala Town
65.9%

Draw
20.3%

Holywell Town
13.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

66%

18.6%

15.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.3%

19%

13.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bala Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Holywell Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bala Town than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Holywell Town than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Bala Town - Holywell Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
45', 1 - 0, Mehasseb H. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
78', 2 - 0, Mehasseb H. ⚽,

Preview

Recent matches Bala Town is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Holywell Town in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Holywell Town could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Bala Town have a series of home games.

In this match Bala Town is absolute favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bala Town
Welsh Cymru Premier
13.09.24	Bala Town - Aberystwyth Town	3:0 ✺
07.09.24	Bala Town - Cardiff Metropolitan	0:1 ✺
31.08.24	Bala Town - Pen-y-Bont	1:2 ✺
26.08.24	Caernarfon Town - Bala Town	0:0 ✺
23.08.24	Bala Town - Flint Town United	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 WLLTW
- Holywell Town
Welsh Cymru North
14.09.24	Penrhyncoch - Holywell Town	0:1 ✺
07.09.24	Holywell Town - Bangor 1876	2:1 ✺
26.08.24	Holywell Town - Caersws	3:1 ✺
23.08.24	Llay Welfare - Holywell Town	2:5 ✺
17.08.24	Mold Alexandra - Holywell Town	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WWWWW

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bala Town
Welsh Cymru North
31.10.26	Brickfield Rangers - Bala Town	✺
- Holywell Town
Welsh Cymru Premier
30.10.26	Flint Town United - Holywell Town	✺

Bala Town - Holywell Town