Match Info

Premier League - Round 15

Date: 9 November 2025, Sunday

Location: Rostec Arena (Kaliningrad)

Referee: Sukhoy A. (Rus)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	Q Sport Asia
Belarus	Belarus 5
Russia	Match! Premier, Match TV, Sportbox.ru


	Baltika Kaliningrad		Krasnodar

	1	X	2
	3.3	3.05	2.49
	3.21	3.18	2.57	Watch
	3.15	2.94	2.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.22 ↓ (3.4)	3.06 ↓ (3.15)	2.49 ↑ (2.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Baltika Kaliningrad
29.9%

Draw
31.5%

Krasnodar
38.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.5%

29.7%

42.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.2%

29.4%

43.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Baltika Kaliningrad has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Krasnodar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Baltika Kaliningrad than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Krasnodar than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Baltika Kaliningrad - Krasnodar Predictions

Users Predictions: Krasnodar will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Krasnodar will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
67. Borisko M. (G) 2. Varatynov S. 16. Andrade K. 25. Filin A. (C) 17. Saus V. 5. Mourid A. 26. Belikov I. 23. Beveev M. 22. Titkov N. 91. Gil B. 19. Pryakhin S.	1. Agkatsev S. (G) 98. Petrov S. 3. Tormena 17. Paltsev V. 15. Olaza L. 53. Chernikov A. 6. Lenini K. 23. Perrin G. 10. Spertsyan E. (C) 7. Victor Sa 11. Joao Batxi
Substitutes
4. Gassama N. 14. Kovac S. 11. Kovalev Y. 13. Luna D. 44. Lyubakov E. (G) 69. Manelov I. 8. Mendel A. 40. Nikitin D. 46. Obonin K. 90. Offor C. 10. Petrov I. 42. Pospelov V.	14. Furtado G. 34. Golikov D. A. (G) 20. Gonzalez G. 5. Jubal Junior 59. Khmarin A. 16. Koryakin A. (G) 8. Kozlov D. 67. Mukailov K. 69. Sidorenko A.
Coaches
Talalaev A.	Musaev M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
3', 0 - 1, Spertsyan E. ⚽, Perrin G. (A),
5', 1 - 1, Gil B. ⚽, Belikov I. (A),
26', Petrov S. ↓, Gonzalez G. ↑,
39', Saus V. 🟨,
45+3', Titkov N. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Pryakhin S. ↓, Manelov I. ↑,
55', Titkov N. ↓, Petrov I. ↑,
61', Paltsev V. 🟨,
63', Spertsyan E. 🟨,
70', Perrin G. ↓, Furtado G. ↑,
72', Gil B. ↓, Offor C. ↑,
72', Mourid A. ↓, Kovalev Y. ↑,
74', Gonzalez G. 🟨,
77', Petrov I. 🟨,
79', Victor Sa ↓, Kozlov D. ↑,
79', Spertsyan E. ↓, Mukailov K. ↑,
90', Belikov I. ↓, Gassama N. ↑,
90+1', Beveev M. 🟨,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 4 and 2).

Baltika is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Krasnodar is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Krasnodar may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Krasnodar might have a minor edge in this game.

There will not play in Krasnodar: Cobnan M. D. (Injury) Cordoba J. (Red Card) Diego Costa (Yellow Cards) Douglas Augusto (Red Card) Jubal Junior (Muscle Injury) Krivtsov N. (Yellow Cards)

There are questionable in Baltika: Petrov M. (Injury)

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Baltika won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:5. (average 2:2.5).

Including home match between the teams, Baltika won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Baltika Kaliningrad
Russian Premier League
02.11.25	Baltika Kaliningrad - Akhmat Grozny	2:0 ✺
26.10.25	Nizhny Novgorod - Baltika Kaliningrad	0:0 ✺
Russian Cup
23.10.25	Baltika Kaliningrad - Lokomotiv Moscow	1:2 ✺
Russian Premier League
19.10.25	Rubin Kazan - Baltika Kaliningrad	0:3 ✺
05.10.25	Baltika Kaliningrad - Dynamo Makhachkala	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 WTLWW
- FC Krasnodar
Russian Cup
05.11.25	Orenburg - Krasnodar	1:3 ✺
Russian Premier League
02.11.25	Krasnodar - Spartak Moscow	2:1 ✺
26.10.25	Krasnodar - Rubin Kazan	1:0 ✺
Russian Cup
23.10.25	Krasnodar - Sochi	3:0 ✺
Russian Premier League
18.10.25	Dynamo Makhachkala - Krasnodar	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Russian Premier League
24.04.24	Krasnodar - Baltika Kaliningrad	3:2
21.10.23	Baltika Kaliningrad - Krasnodar	2:2

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